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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的& @/ P# {, L2 f# n
5 D4 O* J: X7 [这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
. X9 W! e; t6 u他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
" |0 T/ f4 u9 R) d2 O5 ^6 C4 b2 B% q# A( K$ w/ J$ p
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。5 M+ Z, a0 j! J6 i+ a2 n7 {* L" w$ r: \
% O5 ^# `! t8 R+ k% ~6 u 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」% S. g7 [9 n! Q
# `3 M# X- R/ \) Z4 M
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 / m4 l- e( P/ h2 I p [, _
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」& c; R! K$ q- E$ y0 g
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
! L0 _0 R! ]" z# m4 I+ a" q/ U. w 4 @9 m" E4 O# e+ P$ J ~% T/ C. ^$ ^
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
8 `4 R- L& q8 D( ~' W1 F因此铜板较容易出现正面。
' v; N$ K7 M" \, b* |% }# O长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
. X0 f% y, d/ {) w因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。+ D! C& m9 X) d1 g4 C7 _
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
# V" S0 N; a3 _赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」: U$ ]- I% ?0 |0 d
0 j; y2 z' Y; |: q; L: T赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
1 D7 j) g# o8 B# c; p但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
2 C. T# M2 C4 }5 {9 Z) o他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 - d3 h5 Q$ N" Y# H
上帝回答道：* Q+ X9 X E8 u! B$ x+ ~
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」3 z: f: i" T1 P
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」$ S! \: U, M) K1 R2 N4 I; ~8 p' [ V
「而不是先发生在我身上。」/ z) v- Y4 c: `; T2 ~
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赌徒恍然大悟，0 M- v: R* { q2 }6 J0 }' T
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
$ @2 b* O4 U) z( g/ U) _. P- r, M竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！3 D. s6 p1 l% L% @ I
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
- F& ]# ^6 Q9 A- r7 d4 ]( ~上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
5 j$ X; O' F. ?+ t若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
3 P2 z- [$ W7 ^: x: U: e# ?1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，* i# E _' M/ I7 i# p1 [
对赌徒十分有利。* A; c9 ~' H4 l$ F- k1 R7 _
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
F( q& V7 M2 P9 ^9 F5 i在还没掷到1000次之前，: `* v0 Y7 s: T. k
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。! d* T; B4 a$ R/ J$ {+ D/ D0 A9 |
# P: B; ]$ n0 w 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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3 E: o' n$ i' _1 { 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。, X0 u$ y2 C+ X/ a
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，# m# q6 s3 x/ t) o! |
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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