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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存' d& F/ S" U4 L8 P8 q- c
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8 k# b6 \6 ^3 c 8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所
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/ W5 z6 g$ L% R0 [8 T& J/ X获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代
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币待分配。, z, ~1 z! m! P/ |$ O& d3 j# O$ P
; s& ]7 l0 ~/ d+ Z. _$ f/ @“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们" J4 b, P& ?9 p7 {% F; P, b( V, t
Q( G/ r* Z& q7 ~补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。$ h2 W: }' f `# M
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流动性减弱/ u+ \4 u7 Z. i5 Z, @2 O
. e n- |2 S! C# N* N- \" s
除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大8 F! R7 B. k3 N+ [" C$ l
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约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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$ z% O1 I% i2 O' X+ ^' S报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。2 a/ u# w; j. }$ s6 ?! h. Z- u
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