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[lastpost] => 2796758 比特币：为什么机构而非散户将决定比特币的下一步走势（转） 1768304877 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存 X; s w: n, b* Y1 A, d
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。5 h! i4 r! W% L
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所. q& j P$ V9 g9 i9 F$ q
* O% f! i. U; c( c获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。- o; U: I3 y1 V. p
6 Q5 S& ]: {: L8 a/ tKaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代$ K8 Z5 T/ u7 U& \
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币待分配。
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们) ^9 j8 G% y* f
- k3 y2 d1 K8 r! i7 `1 X5 @: B1 E补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。2 n$ X' `: N" s. F8 Z e, A9 i
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0 l, n( D" k' F" A7 N% C流动性减弱
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大
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/ H2 x9 v& _7 ^2 F! g' [约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在5 j/ s0 _9 Z1 Z4 R+ @
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报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。+ I! i! O3 g; T1 ~
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