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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
& C; O& ?4 ?: W' w) w" P) U: G上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。0 {) z9 v1 w* P8 o; C4 ~
5 v/ m( V5 ]& H J# O) z
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者. A; v* R4 ?0 E8 L |
/ q. z9 n u7 G9 I) C* q! U6 V( k/ i. k U8 ~! h' c
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
; ~9 y5 @8 O) l- V. U$ q2 |- K) v. j, d$ M+ W5 s6 A. B+ o
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
3 ?* W3 }" s' h. H
! S- u$ q7 H v$ n1 C. q如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统) K9 Z/ p# p3 G" V& n
9 h [. H! N1 D: V
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
9 V7 M. D% ?8 ]. [. p$ R+ q% F. S/ a5 p4 H* m9 I, _- `
从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
6 E: i9 y4 j6 e* y+ s" `, Z4 b Y5 z, U
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加4 Z' j7 ?& X; w; S' A$ c7 S
0 f1 A7 R# x' k- J* o8 |
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
" [0 Q1 h2 T* z% t8 A
9 s6 K, N6 O6 B5 G* T易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。8 k: q8 E+ S* c- |0 O
$ z% T1 x4 E6 _; l! V天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币" I4 {3 M$ s6 ]& N
1 o {3 j- m# Y. q% }0 H$ Z" d. k9 |ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围! B4 R' P; W$ j1 j
. w5 e- L: A8 g) {) |4 R' _6 e
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构" u: v4 }4 A( N5 i
+ H' _6 o9 n4 H9 Z
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。3 Z) T9 C C4 O% p
- {1 ^1 C* Q3 }6 A/ w/ M+ O1 z在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat ' m$ a" a! W, {2 k, L
7 I1 M6 K7 ~) \. n1 a( \$ i
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，% t0 D+ G0 v4 j5 s" j0 G
0 I1 n/ ]/ a1 N& j8 P3 ?+ I
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
7 N ?! {9 L ^9 Q) X" S- D. Q& S! M- Y8 d
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。( `( W3 `3 U$ J
- ~( @( E0 ]% x: g2 k# T3 o: B不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身7 B0 _ }. p3 Z( T# o5 E$ N$ l0 w3 \
4 N/ d3 Z2 J" y5 u, N- s; j X并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
" z7 r" z. h8 T6 D4 {+ W7 V. p& {* l/ Y# F. N" R
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
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