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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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& n3 k4 i+ `) q" r这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
* O6 q1 }7 d- e9 r3 _- N他希望能和上帝来场赌局。/ t5 o' F' @) ^8 t
/ P% O' l0 ]3 ]. C$ V 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
T/ c! L \8 j1 R# a" \5 k% _
0 ]6 Z4 N7 k; i6 n- B 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」- L1 n3 p! q( `, w( X- j) h
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ' V: s7 |: {" s% J
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。 ]) c( B& R- L7 s) r# ^; T) D
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
, U7 V* d" A- T" Z0 g! R5 f& n0 j1 T因此铜板较容易出现正面。# u$ H- E5 E! H( X; |
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 + ~8 E2 a6 ]' n+ _/ ~) t
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
, W& q: d" t; M% W' j心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
) M. [8 t( Q {) T) \' m赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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# k; h' k* y4 p ]. V) ]赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
' d" Z3 E3 W$ B2 A8 l/ }$ d但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
* v+ E: L2 l# L5 t% @) w; o2 `他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
: c; U$ V% p& }4 X* B, Z. e) T) K「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」" E0 `: b9 ?3 Q6 u& _* N
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
g. D" H, J5 Q6 d7 |/ g「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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$ T7 \1 F# _9 R3 M" M 赌徒恍然大悟，0 j1 V: t, b, ]6 a: X
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，; j9 U; B( J+ i5 @! u. e
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！& w+ U% S# D: H% R8 U6 k: g
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」( i: S5 u4 [. P! g4 R3 d" H
上帝说完便不见踪影。 3 r% u7 k z% q7 C! l* d/ r+ Y
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
: c2 x+ \' s* y9 @若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，! M; B, R+ T- _! l4 e7 }7 E
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
& m- z" I, ?! p' k# r" w对赌徒十分有利。 H# V7 H2 _5 C2 S0 A5 W
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，* x( _* o& v: _
在还没掷到1000次之前，
9 r) p6 T8 O7 q) R- o! G, i, \& U仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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' s0 k7 P# j/ q' R3 a% l7 P* } 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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9 |; T3 I5 K j. u) z. ] 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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5 Q. A9 U% S# f1 W& g( A% ]: L& y 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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