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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开: ?2 l0 ?* B6 G: a! q( x% V' A
始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。
1 l+ W0 b& f' R% a# K, Y然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,400
# x) M. D# v7 M ?+ k; }美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。8 s7 i: Q+ i7 F
以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796* K' J- h+ Z( u$ j0 @6 T
美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。1 H8 ]$ |3 Y! f9 R5 J
过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元- t$ J. b4 J6 o$ f: I
受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿$ o- X2 w L- d0 X: Q' a7 D- e
美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。
6 ~: g, m- C# O4 x另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高 M: T+ U1 A5 z( l; W' M+ I4 K, P
460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。) C3 Y$ Q @% `
联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息+ v1 t/ l w2 {3 n, P) }
美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。4 @' Y( ~& v0 A& A/ M4 G2 z( \- V
多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管$ g6 d! m" }7 j7 l. }8 O5 ]
「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有$ X2 N# Z- ^) V9 Q
分歧。, k2 C, V/ c; z
7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引
7 y1 N }: s6 k9 o方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。& K" U7 R" C4 e5 j( I
9月升息机率为13.5%
/ I; L) W- D/ c7 J* q据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而2 b1 u: P j+ {9 w ?
保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。
, @' c4 ]; a. ^ W0 ^8 v- kFed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔/ \7 g) O+ E8 j, P8 l) [4 h/ h
(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。/ {) C# \8 G7 U! c% X
5 _* S/ T( l8 m! I
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