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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开 A* m* m1 B5 g) k" M8 r
始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。
$ ?! z( ^8 p; J2 b/ ]* N! G4 `2 _然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,4009 G4 y" F6 ]( U5 K+ X
美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。) Z& g$ W: g8 E' W8 z. W
以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796
' T: r l- n4 j! s美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。7 j+ a0 M0 {6 M7 h
过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元% j% u- Q7 e) B5 d& F
受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿 F# J2 e c2 |
美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。
& y) Y0 k ]- K& d* J另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高4 e7 [1 R+ t1 h1 a+ \
460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。
0 T: I2 h' L8 X) Q: I联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息
! O5 y# e2 u# s) }, J美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。/ c q8 M8 y. V* ]9 B% m3 ~
多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管
3 e4 ~/ ?8 \' z8 q. x「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有7 ^% u+ A. K' r
分歧。4 y$ z5 a8 c# e; Y1 k7 A7 q
7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引3 D1 X1 x% @/ N+ }
方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。
2 Z5 { w8 S! P* T; M5 `9月升息机率为13.5%
- x) Y% p8 w% @* @9 A据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而$ U7 F* Q/ h e
保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。
2 ]; m, \. b3 H% c+ d5 ?Fed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔
) U& I9 p! m+ G5 c(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。" ^1 r$ ^" G& f! V% T
- b8 G$ o2 v+ d' x
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