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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存+ y6 k& A, P( X5 T {4 e. W; e
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; W: J0 e$ ]2 c* {9 | 8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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; l5 B L: D; _6 u) g( P& zKaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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$ O: Q9 f: I( M; h5 E+ R' V2 i% }刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代 l& t: S1 ~- P9 ^
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币待分配。6 B- Z- F$ ?7 d ~. ^. P2 T1 ]1 S" E
& x! H! y* [- M2 x" ]“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。7 v" H: L% U6 u* S, a) R
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流动性减弱: i% ?( A4 o0 Q3 O; M7 f8 l
/ @7 U' O( K; I2 Y除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大6 \7 ]4 j0 k/ a+ i2 E/ X
7 v/ t& |: M9 V7 u/ {9 _1 _4 n约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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/ K [- f- H. m“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在7 u( u( J A* w/ x' E1 [/ u: w* J
- u. V/ J% J2 [9 f$ [报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。. v8 Z- u9 C Q/ y9 S# y% @
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