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[lastpost] => 2754091 “比特币八月诅咒要来了？”富爸爸清崎竟然拍手叫好？疯狂的背后藏着什么算盘？ 1754673531 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。" R% K% h( O! A8 o. v9 a# f9 }' A
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
; `. v9 A* i+ x, ?2 _! k. n4 R" o比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
4 S1 i% V9 X2 ?1 D! t3 R( o, X0 v8 e* J) M7 \$ X
尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。! n& ]' k" T# Z& }% _* v1 z
% N- I8 E/ y' E: D( t' V$ Q1 A2 r7 q
鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
0 M# f G4 o r4 N) A鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。6 E$ e/ r/ S$ D9 n! H" @! G0 \
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但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。7 P& ~. ]/ s" {
8 x0 J" o8 K; P; V* C* H最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。$ N) h3 t; F$ @ a( V$ {+ l' W/ f
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 : ^! ]" f/ j2 Y) a2 ~
* D; z' z- o6 O" D然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。) P, R' k' [- k" }4 l* P
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突! k$ q [. _ n( \2 b6 L7 u3 |
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。/ c5 k) x0 |% |# j+ ]0 B
& Y! u) n3 ]& k0 l5 |PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 9 n+ A% L0 t8 A$ \
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
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% s3 ~; F4 ?9 _( z) p, M此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 $ {# ?& q+ o, U7 X" W
& [8 q( ~6 z ?. b5 Y5 T6 @如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。4 Y: u- d. n; C: L% m" P- Z a
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？1 k2 X9 T9 x+ i$ ~4 @9 h2 L- `
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 ( R6 ^) ?+ F8 U. @, A! O$ Y
1 m+ V I2 G2 v7 B% ^ M% l0 L8 M但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 7 [5 X: z+ F% d& N V
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