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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
) |: @' k" g) e% t2 w1 T: O比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。! n4 l- U3 R( Q4 R% [
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。, _" v% i/ m7 l3 j" B
( R* W& y. z' Z I- {. a+ q U; |尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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1 I6 T& d9 ^% t* _- r) @鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…* H: a6 k& q, T# s- I. L6 b
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
3 a/ k# z6 [5 |+ \4 e& S
v* S* J$ |; S但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。' s& u/ t" G3 t- C! o1 c( m
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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9 u: s2 |- p/ z y/ v) C3 X0 V最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。) t! v6 H- G6 p7 t3 \* _& V( `6 ]
/ Y4 h9 k; w, C' m这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 3 {+ R5 [- R8 _7 Y
2 `, b8 g# W/ @7 X# G然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。( k5 b7 p7 ^2 L- {
# D: K0 w! b8 V2 C; _( ?估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
6 D/ M! s3 V! c# Z/ G4 u( {几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。" ]9 h4 U5 z/ V' J' ^% H: H
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 4 v k: Z h* w t' Q* B4 N
2 d& y' @- ]& s. p( y相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。! t: \ D6 p+ j7 P/ }+ @4 |* c7 z
! p/ m- s5 W: y2 i此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 " X- D/ w- G/ o; v) _; D7 n
: u7 F2 Q8 X2 p/ g3 c如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。9 }1 L' X* m: Z* P! z, x9 Z# q
5 c2 i( A) w7 f: U; @, Z结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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6 g- H: ~& _ B3 L1 d' t# ]BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？+ R- b" b1 D1 Y9 Y. }
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 9 W4 D* j, a) @, B, q# |3 t
: \4 E: V$ D' b" j8 c) a但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
7 O% Q6 t! V6 B- Y3 B+ w9 H( t/ y4 s0 t! ]2 k
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