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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的( f5 m) N: g8 G! L+ j
* }. F0 y) ~# w! i这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...3 ]7 |9 q6 `9 \2 P# M/ M
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。! p6 ~0 N( O5 x6 h2 C# x4 z( u8 d
: s0 {$ @* Z% x( A
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。. A. J+ n+ g1 ]; P
[* }& l& W% n9 N$ _) z 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
! ^! C+ u( Q Q$ Z+ l! k5 M
$ t1 b3 R: R' s2 u* R- n「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
, b; m) \) w" X! c/ ]「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」: X5 E7 c1 }* b2 Q& F( c
$ V* f3 N1 t F1 N3 d% T 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。- z2 z- z9 \7 ~. C# k% Y" y. b
. C6 j7 P- I+ J$ Z6 V3 I6 j8 p接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
8 u$ q# p! y; T* ?: w. n& Q/ S因此铜板较容易出现正面。4 n; E/ s/ k D2 W
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
1 C* Y. C. v' F7 _ T. I因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
8 d, G Y" x# {, P, d心想赢定了。9 l' D! L) M# W, T% q( v
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
* C9 M. {: K+ s1 E( E1 S赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」0 F, ?) X0 u' \9 ~. F$ O
# g t9 D( E+ m( Y u( i v% `赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
" j& n% ^* m) W; o但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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6 K9 d4 s! }# Q H赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
! m8 e3 i0 z. `" t他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：" @* W/ b1 }/ h; \8 K. l/ Y
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
; }9 P! F, e' D) _4 ~* ~「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」* d& {( i1 K1 A* W( G$ I
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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$ ~- }; i' h0 p2 f |# A 赌徒恍然大悟，
, b! r' u3 J" ?) Y. A4 O9 S原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，9 E+ U0 O" a5 U- M
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
0 P( e: H( P) p9 ?- y「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
3 a* D" h+ v! J/ [9 J) g7 i2 @2 x上帝说完便不见踪影。 7 b2 R( W, w3 b& T8 z/ M6 J3 U& p4 X
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，9 R( u: a; h* w) T
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，, @- e8 F5 k! E& O# ?0 i6 c' Y
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，; z$ I* z, I: c6 m: p
对赌徒十分有利。
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
+ Z' m" H j9 ~- ] r n0 i在还没掷到1000次之前，6 }. p9 ?% W7 w9 e: _
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。' B, Y' i) N% O) V) E- r0 D6 L
# H& x& u+ w2 ? Q9 ^. @ 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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* W3 ^% K' C) y! p 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ : }9 p8 {% ^; a g; |
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