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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开
/ E b- I3 h; E; n" [) @始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。
, K2 {- |7 J) ?$ g1 q然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,400
( v( \5 }3 c# J& F美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。
4 I% S* W4 U+ N- n' c% w以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796
! ?: s* [1 [3 O4 p3 x1 h( b- M! n1 e3 `5 _美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。
3 M( c0 W" X! |. F过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元
, b* m" u% v/ O受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿
+ R- Z9 Q$ S# h% a8 w美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。
, ]0 Y( V. M7 Q0 j8 @另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高( J( Z5 D+ }6 W0 R
460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。
( ~8 |; ?# y9 `. U& i/ H2 c" N( J联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息0 C7 [, t7 S9 u L. R
美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。
9 [, g" b- k1 w# G3 L: o# b多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管& }/ D6 `' }( a9 ]
「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有( v/ N( Y- X! U
分歧。2 F; d% z1 A* f
7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引
/ v- _* m9 U- ?! a" N% P方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。. F9 p& h. n, g2 i0 y. |: [9 c
9月升息机率为13.5%
6 I0 H3 O( E, F据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而
4 B7 y0 p, a& V p: F7 s- X. M保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。, T8 t( o- G9 A" }6 Y9 `$ k
Fed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔6 C/ y, O) D+ ^0 I+ H1 P. K' B) C
(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。6 S7 t; u- g) b+ b6 p+ M6 m
) T- O: @% _! [! S
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