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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
" _6 H) [3 q4 U9 K S至少有以下几个原因：
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B- d5 a1 B1 e F5 \1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。- g( A7 m* T" g; z
4 L1 g7 @% [1 K6 a9 ?
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
$ x/ Z) K, W7 f7 \/ ^
, J, n/ G' O# ?, h) N机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
* z" p" b- m- ^ u# V( J4 J6 {
/ N- R7 y" l `" b出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到8 T* N- O/ S- w7 Y7 |: {
/ h G" s* i# i4 n325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
3 o' O( A" U) z+ i6 e* X( K
% U& f( B# x4 {1 f; i: e+ w据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有. Y! i) s. b& J8 V" G
* z7 P T- p' Z) I达到200亿美金）
# z2 h2 I6 d1 t! `* q& o# Y4 }: k7 f: \% l0 c% [9 u1 @, Z+ g. K
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊/ Z$ M" h5 B6 X# B
( Z# p) d* a4 [5 y4 z
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化0 o, Q* s$ }6 H* m
- {6 A: x7 s* y% h的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。2 q* c& A, L/ j6 b f2 A* n% E1 u0 r
\$ d' }# ^/ w E, f' u* I: j3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
# Q, g; m+ I* X! C% g* o( [4 A4 J3 |* L" a) X* I/ e$ G. P
资金的信任和青睐。
7 d; L t' L0 H% W" Q3 g9 {. q9 \: t
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
+ s9 ~ `6 `$ y+ i8 J2 c1 q2 S0 C, j7 p& C& k
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
. O8 v" v( X) P" C" N5 L. i B; k" w8 X0 C2 \9 n9 o
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
2 q; i, r8 w9 R5 z+ e2 O
3 W, J+ e. T# W8 J! w( g- Y* H+ o |
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