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[lastpost] => 2646246 【E世博】4月29日投注流水14843元(单日流水) 1715154050 爬格子的瘦书生
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以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题4 l! F& o& _4 \( u8 q, q
* T, t7 W/ R& A1 ^) w, y
因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..7 z E2 E! A$ o* G& A7 n
{8 `0 p2 S4 j假设直线A上有N个点,取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E,2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N
% C1 t! Y$ Y4 V& s. t" f
/ o0 _- X* p' _那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%
/ @' G. ~# ]$ W4 ^7 D* F& A( F
- }9 r" }; ?' C; G5 p豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%* q& [. r8 H" m/ `
4 M7 m% ?; T$ S8 y* |) R, D/ j
连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方(大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下)5 V' Y. F) \3 p; y' k0 Y1 W
" z l* C2 r9 s) Y" Z2 U在是压大小问题.% N" H2 q9 x+ M# q- \
/ V: A' l3 W: e6 J; M- Z
根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..6 V' I, m, ^# J1 W. \7 t
& \, Y' P/ P* x: }( S' v# i7 ~由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的3 o" x; H$ a* I7 c% B
: f2 ]% j0 O* W* P# z; L
心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。% _) Z+ ^) S& }# f% `- g
! o) b4 F; h7 i9 Z7 {1 A
也就是说,压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。& o# R: {/ t6 b( }9 O
( L: M" c M- R8 ?, p并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了6 K% ^9 j4 ~+ a C e7 A' ^! M
4 S) u2 A' j4 R* j# n: s9 m+ v由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。
& R2 e: f5 c( j! f0 y7 q7 F# N0 u0 I
根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家!远离DB!+ `/ N% i6 h! g
& u- X# S4 ]! V* p' y/ e' I
还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百
" B6 b) r/ e- w3 `" r$ P6 t& [
今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了9 g3 w6 C) m" s
0 e' x; ^/ r! A! r% U1 i
偶决定在也不赌了~真的..., c. ?0 S. p; b: H
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 45 分钟
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当前离线
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必输的东西也是要来学学了啊,如此的东西还是值得学习的 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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必输什么的是不讲道理的,就好比必赢的菠菜那样,干脆看开点 |
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当前离线
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这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧 |
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