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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...- r8 F6 ?: d J) T8 ?
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。: W- B5 l, c2 |3 w
& H! k; S1 U5 ^, b 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
2 O) m( r0 E, s. U3 Y2 v/ u! X- W4 B6 a: K2 Y5 H- K( l8 M6 J% h
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」4 |( Y2 H+ n8 k7 y7 Y
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
6 j. s& ^4 `; Z' L, s「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」 R+ j- J( u1 N5 k! p, p
4 D( [: U* v4 D8 h. Q0 }
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。5 E: t; O! ]4 S' j; C# B! `
0 x0 D$ S( W6 p/ ~$ _接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，+ X1 B( g1 a: L' J9 ]+ l
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
% u: T: j, y7 N% p长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
2 u: \# T( N% ]6 ]( G因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。2 |7 C( H5 F2 Z3 u! q! K
心想赢定了。8 [% L+ C) O+ n. @. c
- F2 e( v) R* B. z4 X( _没想到开始不到半刻钟，! e6 R8 F% R* B; l* g1 Z+ |$ f1 {
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」! O+ r4 h9 p; ~" l7 x2 `9 Q) M
. e: F' [: ?+ Z9 e赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
' A8 f3 ]' x# d+ G但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
' ^5 J, t5 D/ _$ q7 u4 S) P$ V/ }他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ( p: Y7 j; k, H7 D, ~/ {) b
上帝回答道：9 G2 Q7 P7 H0 D3 z/ x
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
# `' ?+ Y- H9 |2 k$ R* s「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
- j9 X* E- v& H& [2 B! D「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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! D l+ t$ W2 |4 I* `, |3 O: ?/ U0 ? 赌徒恍然大悟，4 j/ z3 v$ t( h9 P2 @
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
" x+ l) h: M% f& d, m5 Y竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
9 O7 G5 l+ j2 F! G' ~* T「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」) d$ `+ J1 q% j5 u8 N, k
上帝说完便不见踪影。 ! u4 o& b3 \1 S; ]3 f* X2 }, \
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，7 K: X4 ^( Q7 w
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，8 O) L' Z: z0 l- d
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
5 E9 [$ R f. H& \' u9 m' Z对赌徒十分有利。
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) D0 l4 u- x4 F; P/ K/ d但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
7 S. y& y3 ]3 Y' w在还没掷到1000次之前，
) t1 j- V. i4 A& Y. m/ X仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。7 I7 x" G1 _5 B5 t' a6 I7 r
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。) p% \) ?. x* b: w
' o; O2 a2 a5 L& g 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，, T; b: D0 n4 `8 w( d
7 ?# R8 U2 i$ V- X! ?) a 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ + [+ f3 c: L3 t$ c% e! t
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