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' \: S8 ?/ n' @, _2 U$ a: W9 t比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 8 j9 R, P( e' D! [
2 q8 P3 p: v7 Z* X! a; e
监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，* s( n# Q, w" ^( f' L4 O P
+ ^( i9 p* Z8 m! q, ?
专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 , k3 }4 }) v. j: r: H! s
3 \+ P$ V. {4 r6 f
有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技! S0 K! {( ~. E2 @) z7 C
" Q6 a( r1 b1 _% {0 {+ f股等风险较高的投资。 7 a9 c r, ~6 B% }" P' Z8 Y
. u( ~. B: g( \1 i; o" H
芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储6 D: A% p+ i5 G
# H$ i4 J2 Y) W! Z
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 + Q. g- t* Z( `& U$ W
5 R2 l7 D3 C" k现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
% G3 D& V& g/ [
: O/ i7 a( O8 n' I' A: \% U因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
4 K" ~! U, E1 | Z9 t: ]
9 A9 V* x9 k, q5 @ f; p, {从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
. A7 }- @9 Y+ b$ t* B% t7 M: t" Z n4 J7 N3 I& r+ I/ I
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
1 t5 \6 H# {5 M) m$ T. ^% h! E( q2 R: d$ m; I) F0 }8 b' H5 Y
仍有许多交易商可能买入。 - H0 h9 h" K) w. t2 r) S
4 h4 n ]+ z, v3 k
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
& i) T2 n8 y! B2 y- p0 u$ I7 D2 Z; p
推动力之一。 ; I; X: p9 z' M5 o
" q, J9 J0 |; ^& K, i: T- Q020 E4 Z0 J8 Y- @1 I' P; D4 q
9 O0 C. P; H7 Z4 {+ E7 U1 l# t6 j
有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
: G( F* Q' k& W Y! B( U3 O7 V5 X; u
需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 & b M/ g2 l" z0 r' y( |3 A N8 M
9 ?4 [0 D/ b" x* Y [* g加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣2 g9 i E8 z0 `: G
& T" c V# P& V, y% a的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” ) y+ n, I( G& y
, f- {& w* S6 E, R6 x" r. _数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
+ a s0 t3 n6 e, j
3 p$ B4 ]% n$ I- t" A/ v# I今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 7 Z0 B8 X4 X, w) l3 T6 C+ Z w9 M
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