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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
$ n9 i2 W6 }3 A: W% }, f7 m# P O( P. ~; U% ?2 Q
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？9 e# }, x( n* s! M6 @
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在$ F( L3 P' |9 f/ l9 l, B
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
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中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全& b6 G9 |- ^4 P+ d+ \# k. V
6 U! ~) B. i& o6 f去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长- U/ h+ u. x* }; A6 P6 \5 Y
) O! C' o% T7 n% m. y- {5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
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Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
9 @: u5 n! R8 j% {" h( e; S; B% r/ ^# I1 e
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿% V% a4 _ F$ P1 f5 |1 f
! {* j/ ?# }& N! Q5 D- w美金）。- s# ~% o' t7 ]. [, ?
& r6 K1 B- q8 f6 J0 _
( O$ X; C& A, W# _8 s& j5 I2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态! b' w6 b( S$ g" o( I
! @+ u' z! K: Y, |, _比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去# f! Y, z9 T, b7 Z3 Y- B1 |
+ Z. p: X9 w" r! R/ \7 S& W3 |构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
! |* i- b( D" Y% p% f1 R' {
2 }. }! T; t" y" g* ?! A( V5 z2 P3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
( q* {: Q! o( u0 Z4 [7 O" H$ }) a3 [; [8 D+ J- f
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。) S8 {3 O/ Q$ W7 R( G# x
8 b& m; H7 M. z2 ~4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL! x) |; T. ]! V# r. R0 \
* f6 v0 v c* g# G$ Q5 u& O约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美* ~) g9 w' a% F% k+ J+ c# ]
e" L! c" P; m0 s
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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; k* o5 q; l4 S8 v; I
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