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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
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比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
+ X) M. R4 ?+ P2 b我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
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中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全* `- f" X5 [/ V& V. K+ w( Y
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
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D' W) j! m9 P" b5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
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6 a1 [' V+ N& z4 g4 a8 O& ]Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
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ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿" a* o( m9 ~ m: q2 |1 A; o; a' x5 t+ f
A9 O6 a5 P6 l* y# K2 W
美金）。7 L( i: g3 @; C; I5 D
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2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
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比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去0 W, M$ J8 x+ T& p) T V) n
) J, M, j% y5 c4 `, a+ U# |0 K# v, O/ L构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
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4 v/ F: x0 h% n* d6 c z1 [尤其大资金的信任和青睐。" E; Q' D/ p a- Z/ Y5 T) \
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL: J l" b' D) V
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约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美 C7 F7 f7 D/ {) [0 _3 `/ o( F5 ?, n9 N
9 @0 F% g& z6 b; w# K* w; k金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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