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[lastpost] => 2783746 比特币作为价值储存手段的作用：它会取代黄金吗？（转） 1763871565 whywhy
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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。 N6 H- M' j6 P" I0 U/ ]: d3 c
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。4 K* i [* M( ?1 W. E7 I& Y
% V4 R7 t5 X j. i
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
0 u: m" E1 t' w( x3 _( R3 E8 {
4 {* w9 E v! C+ ?$ a- o+ y, j
* o9 a6 Y- v1 r在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。8 I/ ?8 N, c3 E3 Z2 F% ]
- h5 g1 o/ e0 Z. H/ V3 e在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，2 O8 G- A* r9 g9 [. W2 j1 D
F" M# p% @) A
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
7 p6 f' O; L1 A. A5 c3 ]2 O- ^9 z' v6 k {- i# t) I! h& X. E: @3 r `7 M2 E( ^
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。9 r$ ^8 v, E7 Z" P
4 i' p, E& X8 d, j; Z( t从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
4 }7 i0 S7 P, Y
/ T% S3 V: W4 R托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加+ b) d) Q3 N- z' Y& d
' t$ m' N; `6 h' v. H' _. N
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交1 Z8 ?4 o9 v- P) l; m3 v8 ^
2 p: a' v2 P' I. E( ?# a) b+ B易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
- k# e1 W1 P7 M0 \" ^3 s, ^ Q7 M5 G, u% w3 V0 w
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
# x$ ] Q" N4 ?1 y4 p( z1 M: Q4 S3 U& G
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围1 A: `( _! L1 }
+ L* k" m. A8 l2 _% g' @$ r" Q1 c- {绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构+ k# |9 k4 l }2 l3 N
' F! V) d3 @# ^* O
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
+ \/ n% g8 l0 j1 H
1 y& `. u: z t: p5 [' s在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
. H0 \* d) X' b% E: W- a0 x- X, A7 I8 Z
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
0 {% C* N- |( r w/ Y, e+ V$ M/ W2 s( w' Q- e
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元: |* a. `1 k6 v+ |* r% w
' Q% @8 _% E+ o X* G B* G8 ]的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
& s2 b/ v* O; T; }/ A
& z4 l1 F; K+ x2 {不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身# Y' \- q- j' A- K4 K' ]
6 _& ]0 i) V* @, t; x& ]9 F
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和2 x# u( E X! I( b" `! o
" A- e7 p& T9 i+ l4 F8 z5 t
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
6 H. ^1 `/ S3 ?# ^! ^. M
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