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[lastpost] => 2802666 虚拟币市场依然是暴跌的走势啊 1770024049 rainwang
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当前离线
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。7 b# d/ j) d2 v/ Q
9 ?8 J7 N# j( b/ S2 QPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
7 q1 ^: l( z% k$ m
! ?2 J: f7 j+ {+ k lCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。3 O) b! d8 L2 r; d1 T; G
/ i" i% g6 L1 d- a' E2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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$ W( Q5 J# G4 T0 z当前持仓成本:
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机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;0 U1 _4 B. d. S, w3 D
; `3 {2 l1 L+ U6 X1 R" WETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
% j. S% Y* q, R z3 _" r
' X3 j6 {* i% s5 H比特币价值回归:
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。. g7 D% ?! u, z$ u( K \
4 Z. _" x+ l7 q5 ]5 N5 D: f随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。2 P4 f. c# k! K0 C9 e/ }
* ~! j' h1 v- x, L% d6 }加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况
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ETH:
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3 B ^* u) R1 I: f' k5 D& |虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。9 Z2 Z R) \) {% ^
. M$ @) |+ D; J- ~0 q+ q. p* @机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。: {7 y: t; N8 d# S) T' ]/ B
- e$ m6 `/ f5 H7 HBTC:9 [, r$ T* k; m b
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。8 c* O; s3 j* `; }( p# L* d
/ d0 c$ l' u5 F. r4 ?* Q$ J( r如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。* I1 Y" `6 O: p& D' N
8 |# [" A! q+ b bSOL与XRP:
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& N- _) K) t2 h) d+ [) ESOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
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XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。# K7 H0 L! u" x( Y! c
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其他热点项目:
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。" u8 ]& t% n- b, i* y
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目! ? y V3 [" k% ?2 w# p1 z
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。+ ?+ l7 T1 r3 A9 V) R7 W* u
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蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
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! |, A% Z* M8 I8 d新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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2 T+ N1 ^' V$ `" J z8 ?# q6 U) ^市场展望
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随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。# r: C3 N+ G( e
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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