Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29832
[posts] => 484819
[todayposts] => 247
[yesterdayposts] => 158
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2809869 HBAR价格跌至0.10美元 1772286308 爱美的女人
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7428 小时
本月在线: 45 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势* j/ I3 A5 S0 Y/ d0 u' _
# ]( o. G i( O b/ ~3 V过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。! n6 W& r9 i! v& L( a u1 S
8 E) K/ O) x5 _1 Q: hPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。. `0 |1 H; f& P. R5 X
# h' A# d! O. V- }! f8 K
CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
$ E* Q1 A7 ?( R& q) I# }% `
4 E' C5 ^' C! Y/ h) x: F; K' r8 N2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期' Q9 C1 w& {. S
9 F$ n5 d( W' G* _' J0 X当前持仓成本:% P" z( b- R- } `9 O9 d
; W$ [) A, u, e1 V" H! y
机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
7 x# l5 Q' m6 q* ^
; n$ v" T8 D. S) h4 F3 |; [微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;+ C& k( [! Z0 ^* M
- ?( z+ L: v4 e
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。9 S. l# A4 \8 O. [* k2 ^1 f
. [( t5 t, K/ d1 i D
比特币价值回归:8 k8 L! S% a2 j* j; W% z
9 r6 N6 J' s/ K( A" W& B市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。, S* i+ v% @9 Z+ e+ ~8 N- B$ H
# w. B1 j& l; t/ [8 H随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
k: j: N: O3 i. m# D" S
& A7 x) H$ y' P0 J( T. B8 G: \1 f加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。1 @& b2 ?- c4 J7 F8 s
/ b* I6 P+ I$ T5 O
3. 市场热点与反弹情况
# i5 f9 T8 G& R0 X7 }% {0 a, { h* W- i) ^" k1 N8 A
ETH:! L& A6 j# L4 Y* s
4 @% j& m: K5 e- H: J- {* C虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
3 T. H, z' \4 }# s/ P2 ^; ?, `7 v1 P/ b
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
, t* j$ \, d6 O
! O# H3 Z! N! b, I# m$ {* ?, PBTC:
4 B' ~0 R+ O7 R- O1 h8 t! F! A# [ D$ g: k4 z
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。0 f; d h+ W+ s- e. w: l! V
/ Y+ i5 B5 F/ k8 f- o' u( H Q
如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
' z- `0 c. d! f7 T, H" r
9 q4 G2 ]" _2 b Z6 YSOL与XRP:
# E; w; C, ?* v1 P( t1 v% p2 k$ X, }; _4 W; U6 W, p- u3 T2 l
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
3 s& T( V# g! y
/ o, ]$ l1 T) c' JXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
4 `) c' a4 Q: H) `5 a1 X9 l" U/ L3 Z0 `9 w8 z7 h, _
其他热点项目:& m5 k" a1 M- O' Q5 y* {8 Y7 C
7 H0 `4 ?/ ]$ x m! ]/ \* F& X涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
$ I- r3 u7 \" h
8 i! T2 }& \6 t1 @! ^; p t山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。* L" A$ V1 c4 x! G8 p( @3 ~
% C7 ?4 i4 Y6 @/ }% q0 ?4. AI赛道与新兴项目
3 a, z7 L8 f0 @' u; A# y9 F p( \) U1 |& N. b9 o6 D6 ~7 ]
AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。6 \$ Q3 t n- [9 ^
$ i/ H/ \ x: d( Z9 u
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
' N3 B* z0 h# f6 z
$ n. N( n0 f1 @& o4 }# Q- c3 c新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
# x* H: _! D+ t) s. S; e1 k
7 D- A) }3 ^: A5 {2 B( [市场展望
0 @' B0 }* ?, o0 T4 C
1 A* o2 ]) T3 T9 e) l6 ]# r, _随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。) ?( P; C* x4 N+ ^9 y: r
, Y) X) m- M c' T
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13728 小时
本月在线: 55 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19711 小时
本月在线: 80 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 6164 小时
本月在线: 22 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10433 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9079 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3087 小时
本月在线: 37 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|