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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
2 i j- N% F* @. @. c3 x9 G2 @/ Y, O7 Q1 [( Y; k" ~# J4 V
其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...) C8 w2 _; t% A! ]2 q3 j% J. \
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。& S% R% R0 y8 H
# i- O! U- Q% b* B7 h+ T 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。8 `5 S( k" O( a: M; C' c' z
: M) o( {- R6 g 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」3 b2 E5 }% R0 i& O4 N/ G
+ b+ I7 N) t9 j+ ~3 V$ V0 q「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
/ Q7 q- m4 ^% n( G& p9 \7 c「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」# D3 n/ Y, T, p2 ?" Z, i* ?
8 ~+ j9 o/ B2 V9 W5 g 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。" B# S. _; F( h% J( t" \
& [7 Y9 g" D0 @9 H U/ a
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
/ U: C: ~/ ^: G因此铜板较容易出现正面。
+ C6 ^0 ~$ j, D长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
+ h$ L- m& h' h* y/ O6 U因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。4 D$ o- O/ V1 N& N" }" U' F, L
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
; \8 K( n7 o- k, H- }! p赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」$ M0 v6 V2 B; Z( \
v1 U. h) e! z x% \
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
6 ~. h5 z# [3 `; [, ~, a' R1 ?- M但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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9 l# S/ S% A* b9 H# r! j赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
* I8 e6 r# E; ?+ u* E3 y8 j他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 # J. ^- X* O# h0 ]! z0 N1 p
上帝回答道：
/ E- t* G8 B/ J; _; Q4 R$ X2 k「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
$ n! v4 V! v" y8 ~5 Z「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
6 p" d$ y1 C' `& R+ B) c「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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赌徒恍然大悟，, F; D6 o& p# j& N0 K+ M) a) u
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，( q; ~- S& l& \& F) s, K
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
- m2 @* k& h) i9 L" ^2 a% l# s, v/ Y「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」6 Q* m6 n7 G; O8 b
上帝说完便不见踪影。 " ?, w" B/ E* B$ ~' [8 }" ?
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，* c8 N1 E* D0 @7 ^: u) Z
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，+ @' N1 l+ H/ K5 U6 D- w, r2 K
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，7 I0 k6 i: z H
对赌徒十分有利。+ g; T# C2 z% d6 {- C
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
) t5 X9 Z: I l/ {+ m$ o在还没掷到1000次之前，* }" i9 l% x+ O8 z
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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5 |, ?7 v3 F, [, D 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。6 K O6 g8 S2 Z; V% I: G
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，& s7 v8 [0 o% y' R) e' b
1 p+ h) U$ {& H- e1 u F& I+ j 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 5 d' n2 I: C% C- o1 g4 ]9 T% m+ O* D
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