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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
9 m U1 f7 a7 {0 k) z; Z/ Q7 p
& ]5 z- z' Z7 h) Z/ F其实原文标题不是这样的' H& L* T/ l {4 R: t, C
1 k# g: U- a- X- C这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!$ x7 [) o3 Y0 z8 e2 b7 S7 |( T
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
6 A# [4 l t& h& H5 `他希望能和上帝来场赌局。8 E0 v% i7 h6 d% _ K" C
7 Z' u1 l0 X' x% }" i+ r 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
$ J* ?" `$ `6 B, }% C$ }
' n2 }8 G# C$ A5 b- _: V3 Y 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」8 }+ L, l; T" U1 y* T8 I
% T! B* L# p( N5 ` c; D「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
# Q M+ b/ h! T% @「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」 }4 G# H7 Y5 k7 e
/ m; G1 n; k4 L( l( K" ~, a 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。7 g# C6 `. L( \+ Q7 R
& G- M" N6 v! Y9 O2 K, w
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，9 g2 B f/ W# v$ l0 M/ @
因此铜板较容易出现正面。0 U+ b% f! A6 `) O
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
/ n: {; t$ ~) t7 ]0 V因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。* w5 @( V. l1 H) K. b
心想赢定了。) I: I; N( f: o, _8 O
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，5 U" p9 @7 M/ f' r2 v0 M% R
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
4 K1 v4 a6 h3 n7 H0 j / ?# H% m; w) @7 a- X% p
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
4 v* Y% T3 W) B% N7 Y: j但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。8 x0 U; T- X3 A) {: f1 \: t# K @
' m" \" ?- l) {
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
0 z9 V( O9 V B8 D) U他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：- a) c5 r. z, F# l
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」6 J' o6 L- s/ e
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
( e* d9 t, H: q ^- P9 R「而不是先发生在我身上。」
4 N2 K$ [& x; |3 R; B# O5 {. V! L0 O4 i& C9 M1 \
赌徒恍然大悟，, V% L. x1 ]! v; E1 j+ S- T
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，& B6 P' Y7 G, ^6 l
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
1 O$ A* I* ~, u ?* a W& k「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」- A, k3 G1 ~2 @- W
上帝说完便不见踪影。
+ U/ v2 `7 V6 b
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，: @8 m; ?! z0 }8 w! x" o/ ~' u
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，* V5 t* O7 d% |# @# ]# B( u: P2 X
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
* O2 z3 x5 f+ f& y; q [% T对赌徒十分有利。
0 n" {$ b" [2 o( Z3 u4 ?! w a * u" x+ G& U2 i
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
6 o9 s% U* d3 u3 m4 L) B# P( f在还没掷到1000次之前，! j; c4 B! r& m" h+ N
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
/ t/ k) U d, N4 j, n, H- S
' P X, j7 p) s 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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' t9 j# V0 c/ j6 w L9 { 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。1 T* ]& Y, `& W( B
! ^! \" y. b( ?$ B9 W! }7 M0 m
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
. O0 g T' v" ~) d7 `: x
* ?; z% n# y' f7 g4 l- G' [6 ^- @$ g 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
1 ^$ ]; s6 S+ R; A9 h! O* K* k7 W- F: \5 o4 ]% Y+ B
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