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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 0 s1 a0 {2 u/ v; q! S8 v0 Q1 W
* L% E9 w' ?6 F监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，9 K9 l- X! f H4 Y+ F0 @' Q0 M0 x% g$ n
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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# ?/ f: d- N* X$ C( o. `* t4 P有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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1 M$ \, H( P8 `2 Y5 m) z4 v, {股等风险较高的投资。 # @# N, x' |, D$ s# i0 F. B. f
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
* p+ c; A9 a/ `/ D; i8 p- \$ D3 c9 m4 d' q* F" _
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 # G) X9 a$ }/ v
% t+ ~6 l& r- h: g* V1 T现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
' @( m; v7 }/ r+ D) o" ^
& c* o& d9 A5 S; ~* Y因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
# C9 P, _ B$ M) `( r( I) V1 Z* U2 K7 ^* d! Z
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
0 R$ T, p2 ?) A5 s# K# ^2 I6 j* [6 l. k7 O9 E& c; G- l& f) B
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 2 ~- G! k/ w: s. v: B9 J- {
& c3 Z' X" y3 P0 H2 \库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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) L5 g; J3 W6 \5 n, K推动力之一。
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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$ |& @, ?. v" ^3 z% f4 S需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 8 j A [- d" k# K6 u5 t
; `* R5 i& D1 q& z8 w8 ]! g加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣; |. R2 r+ \( k9 V, j2 l, K* m
! n5 g9 z# ]2 M9 U! K的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” : _" J8 a. p0 M/ Y7 W- M6 s# `6 D
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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9 m0 [0 T4 s: C' N+ N* j& D6 ~今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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