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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存# ?" o3 @7 b, x' N2 [
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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3 w" }/ K/ ]7 h; ~1 f5 G研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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1 L8 C$ Y' t$ X3 @" T$ i1 y o刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代- u4 m; Q7 _. i4 T) T
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币待分配。4 P. _2 I* g. S
$ n" l" R4 _# m4 J6 L, F; c) M7 A0 F“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们9 i4 E8 D9 }( v5 I7 {% Y
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。4 E. c7 E" c; g% t* n/ ?
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流动性减弱8 j8 k+ q" G. R4 t
. b) r6 E$ u3 G2 d( r% C4 B除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大
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约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。% `3 b l+ h' H! o% ~1 A
3 y! b- B. c3 A“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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