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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
" Q# n' r3 v- e. D j! e
, V1 v: e0 ~5 k! z5 ^+ }- g# t- }其实原文标题不是这样的) v+ K d8 R( w5 ^9 r6 O4 C) O
$ C% m% ^# M. {! ~" F这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
, G& j( {7 @1 A0 U3 o7 F
" k% u) b7 d- r8 ]2 N6 }
8 V* Y! K* D" D7 c4 c* f; ^% {: w" W2 I
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...7 }" q% i7 r' ?3 j) h& A O" X) [) B
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
5 B/ P, n# Y4 [* e- C% M4 W7 G, K& }" R6 [/ ]6 j4 u
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。0 g( J- T) k; N& G1 }8 l
% ~# T* N+ ~ [: ?- T 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
; F% L# z2 X) r7 D0 }) R , h( L5 N" \2 g7 h
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
! g3 |% @8 }4 b; V「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
4 ?* z0 p% @2 Y( `: `
H' U: }5 k) H1 f8 Y4 c1 }) v 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
m1 x7 y) L5 g; G& ^
2 V2 a U2 I3 c接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，+ |0 Z7 s" C* X/ }6 A0 V) {1 z
因此铜板较容易出现正面。/ q( H+ N" d& Q' m ~! p- }1 W" z
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 5 C# j7 [. ?2 ?% S/ T$ s& u1 |
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
. v& D! D$ |( l/ C5 ~7 n, g2 Z3 S心想赢定了。 u4 }2 ]% V3 K s0 Q9 X4 b @
& z Q ]$ v+ p- l
没想到开始不到半刻钟，
; ^6 N) k- w8 U$ Q; |% G' G赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
; ?+ F, e( n# e, E9 q3 A3 g8 D # W3 \7 Y, L: i5 q9 a$ f
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，3 v2 U+ `; K% W _* C
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
0 s f6 z" y- U他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 3 `& v5 _* q( n! L# B
上帝回答道：5 l* n `3 q- A
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」0 B4 @6 \, z% N
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
# f8 M; h% ^, `「而不是先发生在我身上。」! w2 v, A4 M% J: ~) O P
, N) S8 q1 d/ J3 d! p0 e 赌徒恍然大悟，3 r# n' v) R8 W3 P) X' t" O
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
/ ?7 N; v2 S) w( L竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
5 L; J1 K) F# V( o" r; H' d「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」2 @5 n; d% ^( ^0 r9 E- m: f/ F
上帝说完便不见踪影。 4 E) [# {1 ^# y# _% x4 L _$ D
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
! M, s: J' I& A, P若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，% L; \' n" l z3 w3 T
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
# b3 a1 Y; [( Y1 N9 l) w对赌徒十分有利。! c1 g' L6 T! l& o) \$ ~: y7 y2 L& B
5 t" G- u" y% H但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，# N% b* t4 g$ J7 f# H: q: G
在还没掷到1000次之前，
3 E& \6 a' ~* Z% w3 e仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。9 |% q4 q# E, \$ q& h G) b7 V6 E
/ z5 D/ g, s3 r3 c& j. ~( F 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。7 e, |% |" ?: G# d( @8 C* |0 k
) u5 \! I: Y9 s2 i% |- v 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
- H0 @+ P8 m- W4 X
6 z- j( q' m6 c0 c( U 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
7 d( L+ l. M. Z; A
+ j" `6 t2 O0 q" L) T6 ^ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ $ Q3 N$ t& g$ I+ ~1 K
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