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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，. ~8 |5 y; E: b! o- Z+ V$ z+ g
" {0 G- v' @1 u
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
6 O" m: }' ?/ q! f我们认为至少有以下几个原因：! F- s/ p2 _, [
% L5 h) Y7 p% G$ r4 J1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在+ s' E& W2 P5 Y8 m8 F
5 Q( z! N5 Q9 `
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过4 I+ L# J, G3 Q9 g* i# X
- G2 W1 r% z4 x7 ~9 h( ~
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全1 w6 y, X+ Y5 R3 w
; Q; [) l# _3 Z4 U8 `3 e5 o( S; q去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
9 T* w/ E# i' x% G# K1 h. S+ ~3 X- N+ c5 \1 C+ _
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH ) P; k" u. V$ \3 x9 e6 O" E! B3 B
& U0 B; Y* s; F) w& S' r1 S
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和' A5 O1 c7 w& \8 X
) X9 D6 E( ?/ g. ]+ @$ `, bETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿: ^1 P) B! o! R& y$ ^# `* s
}. T# w. Q3 K- c/ [$ o美金）。
0 Z: m3 y+ Q. W3 [4 I8 R3 B3 m3 A4 n8 k( `$ g" ^
; q6 ]. T$ g: ?1 p4 D# n& F$ L2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
7 m) R' A1 U v. }- Y! n' o0 R" p
; m& p# o/ O2 G: @" v* q7 b9 P比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去4 t0 m7 i1 ]" k8 \5 s
2 [# K7 K" V% z) c* f
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。' y. M7 _- b) y k
: j: ]8 s7 f7 h3 }% c+ ?3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
! E l# J1 x2 i' q/ R" S8 O; x K
, k+ B2 D7 m0 [: c* W* \/ }6 U尤其大资金的信任和青睐。% r+ K1 [+ L! a" R. W7 \- ^7 k
7 c5 n$ `8 a1 X( Y4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
$ i6 h5 C& N4 ^$ h( G9 Y. S, G4 q6 ^# F
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如( |) e0 q O) d: Q
2 c4 i! ~4 a4 q8 O- d' K: l$ t果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
$ a+ n" |9 ^9 X: a6 W m1 h1 ~9 B* ~: j9 y
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。& V9 s5 g( ?! M1 u# E! [" [5 l
$ `3 J' [" l# s7 j: y0 s$ H
. J4 r3 l5 z6 r; R% p* W' Y& y8 y5 `% o3 s: x/ q* I, y0 g
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