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[lastpost] => 2797541 随着美伊紧张局势加剧，比特币或将跌破 9.6 万美元大关（转） 1768666218 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，+ l3 _& `- q& X
3 j) {$ M$ v: h6 y6 V( \& P: R比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
8 j$ G9 T4 y! L" M2 ~7 ~; ?我们认为至少有以下几个原因：' e9 z* x( {& T3 Q$ {) e
8 b! s. W7 Q5 P- _9 u8 T0 T! d, X
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在" G0 Y# O0 R( f1 E1 S7 G9 K! o
& B( I/ r. G* o" j
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
- L4 N. j' H; \7 Q& K8 K, E
( w5 O: e( `+ [) U8 u& ]: E中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
0 Y7 j' O6 H$ H' ?5 O( X) m' Y3 }' L5 [# q& B; T7 z1 y
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长' f/ r$ S/ K, u1 {5 E
7 h2 g1 U2 [* V4 d5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH + {% ?; C: e S* l
# k; W8 ]( k5 C- D: w2 _5 k r
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
% H5 v6 d* x, n3 t2 C5 B! U; ~
5 E3 o, o: U5 D5 V9 VETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿* }# C6 M, R$ P8 j) f2 P% e9 s
) M, I5 o2 r: ^( _5 }& ?# s美金）。1 H& w; D2 q# r) S! {
_1 Z. L _# ~* a, [; x$ G. X7 |0 m
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
+ f) \) O- {4 U5 f& g
, j/ P: W/ C. k+ `" q+ w比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去' x* }2 _; k" ?4 N: z1 n$ u: T# ^8 j
7 X s; s9 o7 \4 d3 z5 i! a构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
' r* {$ k! ` j0 H/ [- A* J% o% B1 J Z1 l0 y
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户" b* V }8 Q4 _+ C. y- W5 x8 e/ U1 u
, d$ C+ ^; A1 C/ @6 B
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
# H9 n: e6 D L& ]+ n: c. x9 @- |% }; x9 S; i; P0 Q7 k
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
- j( F9 S- Z3 j& n- H0 y
$ r6 D* s/ u+ ?* m约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如0 B# S$ m! J- |+ f% \
$ ^3 T! g/ h: i G0 A1 n, G
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美3 W7 M3 I4 E0 _# }5 ]" b6 @6 @
7 U! g4 ]8 o4 C# c# e金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
3 D+ U$ F' U9 u0 s0 C) L; l; |* o% `" V; I$ ?* b
# t I# W2 {( B# ^
1 W& g/ h: R/ n1 z) M/ x5 z# p |
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