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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：, l+ e5 d" H4 M
至少有以下几个原因：
6 l0 D- G0 C$ h: J1 ?% A( @
5 h! M+ S9 y% U1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
, z3 k, X& U# O( d# Q, m
$ o6 A% l+ @8 u; ~8 h在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
3 H$ n5 g* a2 H
( ~) r, x: i( ?* U3 `5 v8 G机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
! ^$ x( w" m/ r. \
n, y5 \' c- Z1 B; ?+ f4 H; J" u出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到; L2 T* @! O1 ?3 @
2 K4 N4 k2 O+ d4 `9 T3 @& X9 k
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
- n5 @# P8 h# U8 d
# d! A! h4 S t, P据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有4 y! {: _# c! E% t5 _, e
5 v% N, \/ v4 E
达到200亿美金）5 l5 }1 H p) L2 T! t
2 [4 b1 p4 `! H9 }: U2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
. j( y3 K1 x9 ]0 D. O& X# ]2 s0 w3 Y2 g3 z' `
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
2 F% i7 R( u' E- R H' I9 F
7 `1 }. N% `+ V5 D! z的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
5 ^7 d* a* ~, U4 ]/ h- U; s
: |- u( } F b6 U3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大! \. C$ y* e5 M& U8 l c& q
+ I" [1 e. U/ T0 M3 c* Z5 s# o
资金的信任和青睐。* f8 b1 z- }3 P3 {# i
, |9 V. ~% S3 c9 B" d% V, S" A4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
; r+ Q* E' I/ e& n$ Y7 D8 d' G3 N& ] I: C
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
! P1 k: E+ `! W/ [! C: V- ~6 Y
1 D% |- g: Z2 i3 g7 U% x% N比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。" g2 |5 L: H! J
t+ z& c0 |' H: g; v8 B |
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