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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。/ \1 [# i# c6 h
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过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
# y; b5 P/ Y+ I: w+ Q链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当; E7 X2 _+ g S6 E2 B" {
8 L( L) V8 [5 Y* r$ N% n天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
- y) K" r' r0 w/ ~' w& L. J% e% L) V$ b9 b/ }6 H
处于健康的看涨状态。$ m, g* {( M" ]; s9 [6 r
- Y8 x/ p3 ^2 Y- l, ?$ I4 [AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬4 v. s) ]3 p) L( P5 O
) g5 l* Y" D, ~: `& B" c
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF; D$ a! d9 o% |
0 k# Q/ c+ I% M. {: W, j$ E$ j& H获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
/ V; T) {9 Z0 V2 [3 U
& t! A! U2 i- ^5 S+ ]( ]! [AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，2 j `. W4 l: Z: x
! b( {9 B' e$ i7 W4 d7 mCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提6 F3 D' s5 y! x* w. G1 B% ]% i
6 b( ~, D4 o5 f/ {+ z9 F- C: ?
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。3 {8 h" Y: O# P& s( U% w* r' ~
- R/ G9 _- R% k- f' u+ [ j
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
$ o0 k( f7 O1 | Z4 @/ M6 N5 p ]. \8 W) v
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
9 a+ Q# \- Y B; e/ \5 M
* a% q& Z: t7 E) [7 P0 p- G% ^/ Q( [% T劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
3 Q$ h/ j/ C! T# j: x2 z( {
9 W+ C Y7 R+ G. z! {% \+ k+ _然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF1 ^! s% T( y1 [
% `- J" n8 W4 M" T1 }" r9 A' n
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
: c/ P4 ~, g$ d" z- z1 i) t- q7 F7 E3 C* z6 B3 f
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
0 ~4 v: b% ^6 I7 `' ?1 A9 s' R, p1 l9 a6 Y9 j- L- R6 e4 i
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不) i6 e$ f. H' s& a! N0 O
* s4 m9 @- E7 l9 E8 d
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
9 P: E9 X2 c; V3 n5 N/ T. [8 K( Y
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
+ g: w$ R) v; ]7 _' y P( c8 m) {, C1 F0 x! V: } h) ^
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因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
$ n3 V3 ^$ b% n w. O' n2 `
; J/ t9 l+ V& u7 K. B: Q- _关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
# W; ^6 x4 o! V1 i7 z; J1 F B
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