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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。2 @& N' K' x: P: P, F$ p& ?
$ t2 l7 C: p1 Z+ [" d2 [
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
5 K- k) j7 D; Z& [4 I9 i链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当4 o( |( {# L+ G6 Z
7 G6 \# i z) t5 X4 G$ w6 C
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
/ s$ X" R$ |' M
. f1 I( D% R- U3 u% \; D处于健康的看涨状态。+ R& i3 |0 H9 a P1 V- s
& e$ W) v0 o# n9 A5 M& N; x
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬& [9 @+ { I; \3 S; c5 Z
* Y/ f/ L r" J! q+ @
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF4 N+ g- \. K b& l. U R2 g
4 c6 b; Q- H D& \
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。& ~) C7 O9 g, J) R9 A5 k# A5 o
, K9 {2 C* o& }: B2 ?" S
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
9 @% U" D7 y+ A# j' G; k; l% z% P5 J; }
/ z: T1 W5 h. I1 N u; {Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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7 _7 u% C5 g9 H- U% f; q, i! N0 F' q及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
/ J$ q% T" n- S
. t6 L* N: U# w4 j其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较& {2 j# }3 Y' X0 u3 N8 ^
0 H; M8 G" [/ i6 Z4 U& A0 s) }% A) T7 I
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强' M. h u4 y9 L" j6 E
8 X# t. [2 m4 z劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。2 y9 [/ S' u( v
" R& a0 C+ |+ I' E4 H% \然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
3 ] V9 g2 m5 o$ F1 a, Z, J
+ g' K2 X2 |, g: d) y! U Y申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
3 _7 y8 J* j5 L! R, Q5 d5 E% z6 c$ s# `- J
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币4 c$ g! F+ H; \- `/ e/ ~# c f3 C
9 H. X2 y' R5 h3 B' l1 e8 }NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
( C1 H5 s/ B! u' G2 q. b* a, F# X& D
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
& A7 s2 t2 f+ w1 V4 g' x- h0 u! O i) k& }1 V7 W. h$ v
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。$ {/ \& B8 c4 S/ z3 I- J+ [9 H
# [& F4 A7 Y) h1 s+ @# K
. ~; C! R1 T7 m% j; p因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的9 ?. R/ `5 V4 h+ g/ m
0 O3 @. C: E* w' V$ j! g1 F1 Q7 c
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
* B* L8 J4 g# {; r5 @4 Y( J
& j9 O" `: [' I( P2 o: w' h/ O' `, o8 O% S( c# y2 k, u2 d
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