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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
) s% l0 j1 S3 b3 ^- S9 x上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。9 }9 Q4 n5 F+ N' c8 r8 p: Q
) Q5 J7 {( Q! c* Z比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
7 e) u0 C) L# X3 v$ O" J- j+ y# I
6 @5 ^2 {9 ?- J3 T在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
9 o; M% k/ ~0 i" \
' }9 y: t6 [: n/ [6 [# o7 N% x8 Z在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
# G4 ?2 C1 V5 _ U) q# Q" A. Q1 ?7 T; ] q( ?. c) |
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
_/ P; {9 K5 a+ G8 G5 c
+ P6 x( {4 P3 o5 p4 l6 t资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
, m' L5 W/ H) f; ^- X( o. r6 N) v% e9 w* n0 v6 |
从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等* V+ | P: }, e+ Z( v4 P P, u
* d, S2 H6 A2 @
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加2 W6 P- X$ M x1 T8 U
9 B1 ]9 F) ]2 m2 {# N k: Q
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
$ C6 @* C0 t& K0 y& O* i0 |' i* P, k/ G; b) @6 K# b3 j
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。$ t3 K. n0 i( P( ? i
+ b4 T* q( j+ v/ W! s9 P7 ^8 \
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币( P" C% ~ B2 K$ k9 Z! s: H
4 Z2 m) H. i' e* {2 N$ y* H
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
9 s/ \2 ]+ D; c9 [+ G1 F9 |* Q" b: g* E& J0 o, V! F3 \
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构! F( P' _* s# I: z8 j1 ]
' H$ k' ^9 _8 @' {& x1 y4 n2 ` J
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。7 l; U/ n! w! F2 d+ w2 A0 P5 F
/ S1 M" z: t. \在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
4 k* a3 P8 m0 b4 Z0 _/ O& \- a. D
3 p9 g) h1 T8 l$ AGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
) V# h* e( J. s! K A, c+ M# D
& l# |. G e9 a# t! ?* V比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元! b2 A$ n4 O H2 s9 {
! \ N( r1 C& F% i2 d9 a5 X
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。! O$ i1 N/ s% q
+ \( I4 T5 k4 _8 D n% X9 ]8 t4 R6 U不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身' P- ]6 e: y7 z' F
' w4 t1 _& }: y+ U% S* t) x7 C$ n
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
4 h7 x7 G `; R$ o
8 y. x" K3 `* H6 b科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
: g/ F+ J9 a7 z, X2 {: S, T, Z- q& ]& i! O5 O! c( _8 i+ U
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