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[打法交流] 骰宝投注单点，收益率的计算（转载）
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1#
以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题- b  X, j8 @7 O1 x- {

+ T1 U3 B, C4 b$ Y  U: ~( M因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..: J- O/ o0 {3 `4 r/ w9 V

2 k5 _0 R0 V1 M' H假设直线A上有N个点，取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E，2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N
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那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%, X6 {8 Z7 s" r+ o9 i" B
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豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%& r1 m' s0 H* p4 _2 T  E

3 H. h- s2 v# |" A8 Z  t0 N1 W连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方（大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下）
' P2 d6 d1 w; O8 k% b! O
) g' p, Z* R( g0 {2 ~1 |在是压大小问题./ Q* _$ r! ^* y

3 h! j* F# b) [  X, q* d% c  W* V根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..
2 T( \1 _( B+ W: t% h) ^# P& g1 b8 I. K+ V! l3 c$ Y
由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的. l( |: `& s/ F+ o4 n- x& {
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心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。! @8 ?9 s2 x6 I- |( e2 b8 v

" M- |$ {; W$ B5 I  W. J7 I- K% ^# ^8 g也就是说，压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。
/ [0 E7 ]% s8 ^3 }  }. h, S( d' k4 s! q, Z  j  K, C, N
并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
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8 p6 n0 E! p4 J% Z由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。. E3 N! K: R; y0 B0 x; |" ^
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根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家！远离DB！
  @1 D* O% |% y; @; _9 V5 k9 }% E8 b+ U3 z3 @
还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百
4 t6 X9 V# l  Y& z3 K: t' Z2 R: r2 N+ k( Z. G5 ^) R6 S
今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了
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2 C1 Q5 z! }. h6 O偶决定在也不赌了~真的...
$ ^7 C9 ~8 L( C8 v! k9 _6 d; y1 L; g( ?$ t$ R8 _8 V6 P( b. c# o8 [

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2#
玩彩票我看就压和值大小好了

0 回复 举报

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3#
筛宝的游戏我什么有玩过的了。

0 回复 举报

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4#
赢到的时候就该收手，全部游戏长玩就是完了

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
楼主遇到这种必输的局，运气也是非常糟糕了

0 回复 举报

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6#
没有人会喜欢必输的，我也亦不例外。

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7#
抽奖的过程不首要，结果才关键。

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8#
投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了

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9#
必输的局什么我必须是不会搞的啦

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10#
希望抽奖时给力的运气可以来临了的哦。

0 回复 举报

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11#
今次游戏在论坛的运气还是值得肯定的.

0 回复 举报

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12#
必输的东西也是要来学学了啊，如此的东西还是值得学习的

0 回复 举报

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13#
这个游戏能自己好好掌握，也是很好的。

0 回复 举报

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14#
我又是来瞅瞅看这个投注最终怎样了啊,看起来还行

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15#
有幸运的话抽奖就是一个很不错的奖励了。

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16#
必输什么的是不讲道理的，就好比必赢的菠菜那样，干脆看开点

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17#
这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧

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