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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的2 j1 V# e- h" a
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!" J- i \8 u% Q( w. ~
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...- z. z1 m( ?0 \1 L
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
& ?6 |: m2 d- J" V- P R+ ?- i" a, L
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」* @$ S5 _ {& L ~3 q. L" B% M2 [
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
# N1 y0 E) t: J7 j- h「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」- R& ?+ ^$ g6 L3 L* Q* v( x
4 c1 _/ y' u: U0 m' y8 C 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
( F- E7 F% ~9 E2 ]: Z# d. } + ?9 m g/ `/ c2 s) u
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
8 N E3 d# ~9 o( j7 U- V7 q因此铜板较容易出现正面。
+ x& o3 |) J, X! |2 x+ t长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 1 o' X4 y g0 a' M) p
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
! E4 k8 e8 f, X4 k6 [. w+ E心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
4 L( f4 f) k' w5 ^/ q4 q赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」& H: Z* \/ @: E+ `5 u
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
9 j2 |: T$ b& ?, V但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。' v, u7 _& d- J& t
( X6 A6 L* c; O0 @' o/ Y& J赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
3 o# X C5 k7 X3 C. _( p( {1 h- {他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 7 L8 c+ {. j' K
上帝回答道：
3 e% `" o; } l! w「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」 }' j* q2 j& {: u1 c& U( _1 O- n
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」+ D ^# P6 A9 y6 _& J h/ N
「而不是先发生在我身上。」! k1 S6 ?( m8 F* F
& @1 b' M/ X! K% y X8 E) C 赌徒恍然大悟，& W; {% D7 w! o& Z& q( j
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
8 e" l# U+ s* C竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！2 m: `4 U4 B, q: i! |
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」+ f" y$ a% t9 i/ G9 [0 G5 H6 R
上帝说完便不见踪影。 0 E, f( x A$ C J' L
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
8 z) A5 I: w1 W7 D9 W若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，! K+ [* J0 d& T; C
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，, ~# C+ D& m' F7 L
对赌徒十分有利。' y% c. j9 {. x% t7 Z% Y5 v
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，+ t% Q- [& R" Z* [; [
在还没掷到1000次之前，; s. J. W+ h% V! J' o- R0 d S! C
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
$ V5 ?/ [. X$ z+ `9 m3 k" l% C3 l7 G. ?9 X& I" S! E6 E
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。3 |4 d" b5 K; Q8 V0 K* Y1 H- Y
# J* R4 Z& w2 k* c. _* j 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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5 \8 M* z! Z3 N$ Z" S9 \6 s/ n6 D6 i 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，% \/ q0 M; U! H2 t! V' d6 h
6 N4 y* R# ]% N
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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