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昨晚20：30分，美国五月份CPI通胀数据发布：CPI公布数值 8.6%，高于预期数值 8.3%和四月的CPI数值 8.3%，创下1981年以来的最高水平。在高通胀数据的压力之下，金融市场随之急剧下跌，截至凌晨收盘：纳斯达克指数下跌3.54%、标普500指数下跌2.91%、道琼斯工业指数下跌2.73%、比特币跌破30000美元支撑线，下跌至28852美元的低位，随后在买盘拉动下回升至29200美元的上方。
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/ b7 N4 c. m2 q( a L1 ~6 B0 P5 w+ @BTC/USDT 日线图。资料来源：TradingView / X) V( V( \. E* f* L( ?" d" a3 [) g
美东时间下周一，美联储将召开今年第四次议息会议，在为期两天的FOMC会议结束后，将于北京时间6月16日凌晨2:00公布联邦基准利率，市场认为，美联储加息75个基点的可能性正在上升。 ; u/ B/ e+ H4 t$ J5 N1 t
以下是几位市场分析师对比特币未来前景的看法： ! x# q5 Y8 Z1 L" y+ }% K- D: S& q
美元强势将重压风险资产
9 t: B; N6 ^3 e; `加密市场分析师 艾卡波 谈到了高通胀数据对金融市场两个主要指标：美元指数 (DXY) 和标准普尔 500 (SPX) 的影响，他发布了以下图表，指出“在 CPI 数据公布后，# DXY 继续上涨，#SPX 继续自由落体。” ' k2 \9 m- l3 y* ~7 a, @8 C$ r5 g
0 o% h% u& Y% t7 a1 n, ~DXY 4 小时图与 SPX 2 小时图。资料来源：推特 5 `9 Q8 ^" T6 y, f/ ^& P
图表显示：美元上涨就等于其他金融衍生品下跌。这就像，海平面上涨淹没沿岸的沙滩。 , z& }7 G- g( q- M; b
市场分析师凯文斯文森还表示，美联储如无法抑制通胀，可能会转化为经济周期在2023年正式进入衰退期。 4 ?1 R A/ Z% u5 K5 |
有可能回调至 28,000 美元以下
. @2 p, D2 b: Q2 M加密交易员 夏尔巴在推特上发布了比特币价格预测图认为，比特币的交易价格可能跌破28000 美元。
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BTC/USD 4 小时图。资料来源：推特 1 _1 ?5 i i l& Z/ i' [$ F8 `
夏尔巴认为：“从四小时线图来看价格似乎止跌了，但整体市场结构仍然看跌。没有真正积极的因素推动上涨。很清楚，如果跌破当前区域，下一个将考验28K美元支撑位。 5 y, p) `/ A3 L* K4 w: { v
BTC 需要收回 3 万美元以防止进一步下跌
( m6 x" p2 u2 OTwitter名为克里布的市场分析师 发布了以下图表，显示比特币价格必须回到30000 美元才能防止进一步下跌。这位分析师表示，这是“我们需要坚持到底的时刻”。 8 J7 j+ D d* G: s0 ~
& K9 O/ k$ L: ] V! r7 O8 B5 J" p& QBTC/USD 2 小时图。资料来源：推特
% t$ q. N j, {' l* `/ F克里布说：“支持，这是比特币第四次触碰28000 美元区域，再次反弹说明这个位置有强大的支撑。如果我们能回到 30K 美元以上，那么跌破 28K 美元就可以避免。”
- \) A4 d a5 t/ P- v9 z来源：金色财经 |
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