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v神 推特换成中文名以太坊就是国产项目了？ 1 ^$ e8 y/ o( y2 N1 Z, d* b
这是啥逻辑啊？？？都是人才 0 e" D* g8 _- b2 M; D4 v( Z* a. ]
luna崩盘的根本原因是ust的脱锚，而造成ust脱锚的直接原因就是杠杆。
7 B" B' K! k' |1 P" l1 {这次导致以太坊行情血崩的直接原因，就是steth。这个st，是staking的意思，就是质押中的以太坊。 / J; L1 ^" u/ ^
我们都知道以太坊今年要合并，之后开启以太坊2.0。 % Z7 p. I) f1 K, B0 o" q
那么在以太坊2.0之后，最重大的改变就是共识机制的变化：将由pow（机器挖矿）改变成pos（质押挖矿）。 9 z% _ B/ F I
简单说一下 v神如果想让eth成功进入2.0时代，那么就必须得给资本足够的利润空间才行，不然资本不会进场，
7 z4 G3 a$ d) x2 _# ]! V. beth如果想要成功跨到2.0，那么必须得有所牺牲，v神只能不惜一切代价的压低筹码，而这个代价，当然就是持有eth的散户了。
- M) O. h& t* q% s大家一定要看到，eth并不是无敌的，v神看似轻松，实则举步维艰，在以太坊周围环顾着超级多的竞争者，咱们这个圈子，真的是失之毫厘差之千里，稍微一个不谨慎，加密世界老二的位置就得被抢走。 0 y9 t4 K; x9 D, e! e9 |1 N. r
但是以太坊不会那么容易死掉 等散户割的差不多了 就该启动了 所以现在持有现货的朋友最好就是一动不动！ & t, A% a3 j+ ~, Y- L
晚上研究了下现在stETH脱锚这事一：姨太2.0升级，存入eth到信标链可以获得一定的年化收益奖励。有几个限制（需要32个eth或者32的倍数个eth；eth2.0升级完成前质押物不能取出）。这些门槛让很多用户没有实力参与质押。二：为了解决一的问题，LIDO平台创造了一套体系，让大用户小用户都可以不受上述几个限制，想存多少eth都行，同时给出1:1的stETH作为质押奖励，1:1对标存入信标链的以太坊。LIDO自己拿存入信标链的质押ETH的年化利息奖励的一部分作为自己的收入，剩下的给顾客。（相当于收利息部分20%服务费的中介）是不是这么一看，LIDO既安全也便捷？理论上1:1抵押物，那么stETH不可能脱锚ETH。两者价格应该完全一致，同涨同跌。问题出在提供别的金融衍生服务的平台。三：AAVE平台可以质押stETH，借出ETH。因为ETH2.0上线后，stETH是可以1:1真实兑换eth的，所以肯定也有部分金融衍生服务平台提供这种反向兑换（至于中间aave平台赚了什么没有仔细研究，但也是类似的，估计是年化收益的一部分之类）同样，顾客质押stETH进入aave平台肯定也有一定的年化收益。四：单独看二没啥问题，单独看三也没啥问题。但是二和三组合起来问题就大了。假设你有10个ETH，质押到LIDO换取10个stETH，同时获得10个ETH的4%左右的年化收益。然后你拿着10个stETH去质押到AAVE，换取10个ETH（没验证过是不是能拿同等数量以太），同样获得10个stETHx%的年化收益。再重复二和三的步骤。这样最终环环相扣以后，本来你只能拿10个ETH4%的LIDO平台年化收益，现在也许放大了10倍，可以拿100个ETH4%的LIDO平台年化收益+100个stETHx%的AAVE平台年化收益，如果放大了100倍呢？是不是左脚踩右脚起飞了？相当于你只有1w块现金，却要从银行拿100万存款对应的利息（让我想起了蚂蚁金服[黑线]）危险在哪？不停的循环杠杆以后，真实的stETH和ETH的兑换关系已经不是1:1了。例如Curve上面的stETH流动性池子，里面stETH和ETH的数量比昨天已经是3:1了，还在逐渐增加。那stETH就存在潜在的脱锚风险。AAVE平台质押的stETH如果本身价格大幅下降，肯定会有一个清算价格。一旦清算发生，stETH会遭受进一步巨量抛售。还要进一步影响ETH，AAVE以及LIDO这些代币的价格。暂时研究出了这么多，如有不正请指正。 U1 w: X4 E* |$ [& B" n0 F
等到有足够的利润机构进厂了 那么一切都简单了 等待以太2.0爆发吧 来源：金色财经 |
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