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[虚拟币资讯] 加息落地BTC 以太反弹后回落 底在哪?
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无论是美国、欧洲还是其他发达地区,对于通胀增快的警惕都已超过对于刺激经济的渴望。8-10%的通胀,足以让很多家庭陷入窘境。可是供给不够,别无它法。

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摆在各国央行面前的,大概只有加息一条路,尽管大家都知道,它会带来萧条。可是加息了,各类资产降下来,通胀才能得到遏制。

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在这样注定的加息局面之下,所有的风险资产,用一个词来说,就是“独木难支”。而不幸的是,比特币以太坊,就目前而言刚好被划分为“风险资产”。

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先说下周期:

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你相信“super cycle”理论么?所谓的super cycle是说,crypto资产每4年就会经历一次牛熊的轮回。这个理论最直接的支撑,来自于比特币每四年的减半(带来的抛压变化)。诚然,从2011年至今,它已经生效了3次。

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3年的比特币牛市,让大众启蒙到了区块链这门技术,所以15年我们有了以太坊。

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17年的牛市,让大家意识到了智能合约的强劲,所以19年我们有了DeFi。

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21年的牛市,让我们认识到了DeFi、NFT可以做出这么多不得了的东西,所以未来我们注定会收获新的种子。

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重点:关于抄底。

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我觉得在800美金以下买入$stETH,对于长期持有者来说,也许是个正确的选择。

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800美金是上轮牛市的起点之一,同样stETH也确实应当有些额外的折扣。长期主义者是一定能等到stETH回兑成真正ETH的那天的。

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对于以太坊未来的技术路线,PoS ETH+Rollup的组合,我是非常看好的。基于这样的路线,真正的web3.0应用也可以超低成本跑在以太坊之上,享受以太坊的安全性,而不需要再考虑高昂的手续费。以太坊的环保问题、通胀问题也会因为PoS而得以解决。

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另外,BTC是我的心头好,同样可以择机开始定投。最近半年以来,它的流动性之好,大家都已有目共睹,毕竟流动性为王。而且,加息终究会结束,放水才是永恒纪元。

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最后,此时此刻,如果你这是你第一次经历熊市,不要太过沮丧。战争会过去的,疫情也会结束的,通胀会平息的,放水仍然是永恒的主题。熊市里的分分秒秒,都是build和学习的良机,因为这阴暗的一刻,也同样不是永久。

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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
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:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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