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小分3种情况:
. g# J* x8 R: q# j3 K# g) ]$ g4 g! N
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。4 ?+ B, m" X) t& k5 t" u3 K; U4 P7 Q$ p
+ D1 a, A& |/ W3 t; M# K
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
( L5 ]* l8 n8 |; k0 O3 o
4 h$ ^/ \9 r- W" l2 h$ L3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。0 l1 [3 R6 w* x* Q
# h ]* s4 T) Z& l4 _4 @6 D. e
2张牌8或9点的情况有:- @. `7 X" Y, G: ^. D% l
8 G' j, t0 |3 W9 F8 z
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
& i3 y" L7 F2 x) d# |, Z8 R. u8 @- r- F7 J+ q" m) Q% w0 u
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
: v6 m; r8 q8 R: O/ T$ T9 E* ~) ~& j+ D9 j' D6 q# r6 v* H! o: e* S% h
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
! Y) F* X3 i" S5 \8 v4 _2 M0 D9 Q Y0 u
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
" W6 ~. B1 P! v( [5 `
' I6 J" y/ g/ ?% C( _: m2 d/ A由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
' e; w6 S# b$ u. Z$ [2 z6 s' Y. A8 S8 I
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
$ ^# n! p% E4 T& S* D5 F- ^, ]$ K8 g2 q
那么我们可以得出0 t4 s, z' y1 b3 k
9 [( Z* L/ V. {8 t$ K0 M) y
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662$ B4 m# O; R4 N5 Y
: u& ~% Y( Y; e3 J! Y2 u2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 6 s. Y! h3 @/ m
( e" l. I0 I$ o7 x# \* l3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
6 ^6 O7 v( F3 M$ t7 @: @
7 s6 H: b" P5 z( C N所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
3 Z5 t* e5 g+ `% Z$ \) T# r4 D( W: E2 s; I- H
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677+ B. ]/ k( `- [" j* Y6 }1 l) o; r
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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