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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
C6 e7 w( P- m8 XISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？9 t9 y- o/ e( A* ^
什么是ISDA？6 o7 E& }! e$ ~' |& X$ J" @
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
' R& @4 {4 I( Y! t# C) `- G营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约0 M; q' W8 g- V1 n0 {# V
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
3 w" m/ A* N+ G' H双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
! j* |. j T' ?- ]# G( O$ G- e, I场的正常发展。
: [* e7 N) {) c1 u& k换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
1 Y8 w2 H% L3 J5 \! D" q, H进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和& u; h: F' N6 V h
Digital Asset。8 h9 f+ Z/ d9 ~& {8 [
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？5 j5 M6 `9 q5 c9 Y5 S9 g
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
) Q. S; @# e4 a+ Y1 h* n1 h: d响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。* D! Y5 {) T' K
根据其推论：9 h4 v3 [7 z+ u$ e4 F5 i
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
9 G2 h% L0 a' R1 t$ y" R若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
% w% N3 f* r+ C. M7 w9 k7 E, j' x2 nXRP目前总市值为349亿美元
- ]/ M$ b6 Y" I需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
6 ^ ?+ ]3 W3 |' A7 n9 k. t而XRP目前币价为0.661742
$ m* J1 R: L# ~. u A1 e( }9 n- M# p& M0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
$ n. H( h, `, Q挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？$ j7 K, Q2 k3 K# J
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
. G) e7 u% M/ x! U7 }6 _( B也未有极大的波动。
' i) x4 {8 ]. j9 ?* X而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
5 n' v* l6 [, `7 o1 X性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这! Q" U5 S. W Y* F% D/ u
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢* a$ i- q0 d! i( L
引导传统金融的采用呢？
5 Q, W( I& X$ F- b8 }6 [
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