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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
# I, _* `, r& j& jISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？- G F& O: `' O8 z; I7 ^$ h$ H
什么是ISDA？5 K- i; R) `& A" g3 i
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
2 C- S! g5 O5 N, h5 j" k# w营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约' `' t' i# D6 E& E# a# X; [
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
9 x, ^6 N$ ~6 ^/ \8 Z7 v# I双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
, S9 b+ u+ ~8 c6 o& G3 W0 {/ O场的正常发展。7 s! t: M) ~# }% s$ Z! m9 m
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
% }2 _0 d* d: \1 G3 Q6 B7 ?进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
/ \% v( u3 e3 h' T7 LDigital Asset。
, A3 M' c, V- y1 X# {加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
" B7 O! d5 `" s5 ?* [: dDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
$ U4 h) D. S# S( C9 v/ s响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
6 k5 @5 ?9 C; r; n7 H6 X- s/ v根据其推论：9 [) y7 ~0 H# |& y/ x
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元% ^4 H$ M- e' x3 c4 o
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元$ `9 D% [6 |2 e( J9 b2 I( l
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元
: p- E5 p" |1 a" }) z+ e. U需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元 `* W: _: q8 ?9 A* u- P
而XRP目前币价为0.661742( \1 e7 D% y. y
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
/ ?2 `/ D1 k& a# |$ n* E1 x挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？! u# F9 O5 C( q$ t
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎- [; B* i% T" |/ s# O
也未有极大的波动。
8 p3 q; x. Y4 c3 |而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生! l- u9 ^1 D2 L1 F- T5 \; ^
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这2 J9 R6 e( w, A4 j
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢% }- @" W! `! w5 R5 _
引导传统金融的采用呢？: l [& e6 ], C" s
* p3 I# \% T0 Z5 E% l- I; l& j$ G
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