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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
+ c1 z+ ~2 G* O! r! T6 K4 |( N$ O6 G' K3 L* V
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
! I) c, p+ V1 ]0 ]7 E我们认为至少有以下几个原因：) ]% C8 H/ @9 L& c6 }( X* H6 b& V# L
) A! j1 o) ~4 p7 @1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
9 N, v1 A ]/ g% G
0 M% X: t* Q E; k$ M& d没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
, g; ~: z+ E5 x. a/ W# s* K- w9 e5 c/ K! {3 q
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全2 M# |! ~4 F& e& l' d
7 |% C/ [) @/ ^7 Q) S
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长7 H6 D! E& C; i- N( w0 p/ N- v+ ]
1 C* q9 k0 m% g+ q8 D) ~5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH , F; e5 O& H& H, ~# J# p+ l
+ ^; o- z% O9 h" u+ f" M3 ~8 V7 XLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
& L Z" }3 t" w! v4 g" ~, o" Q$ R. L2 x( p- b
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
# S8 x9 E: a( |9 x) R! Z' I9 c+ j3 ^' s% C( }. X9 p! G9 O* g) i
美金）。
5 z! q' x+ P. H% X
6 [% S+ U5 p! W# U" s$ a g) i
8 M2 j8 \7 H% M4 m/ q. X2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态: i- C+ S/ b6 d. `# h X1 h
* \ \: q$ f8 \5 l* }比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去8 p+ s' V7 B0 v
; u* k1 R: ^$ _3 z" A6 o构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。0 T% b- o' g% l: a6 H
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
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尤其大资金的信任和青睐。' U+ Q* Q, N5 t9 E, H
* k4 f0 d$ c/ @5 b0 A7 r2 N4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL# L J, }4 E) T) k5 c! K$ K: M1 Q5 @
% ^0 ~' x0 c* l( [. v' p
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
V7 D5 W4 F% u% H
# A2 R2 w5 ]+ j5 v果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美- ^" K. Z. W5 b$ ]" d3 ^1 o4 @+ s! I
& d2 P, m+ w8 S, p
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。" P" g3 N9 V5 i
. @ m% c6 S: b: S
* w$ h" K6 Y( f4 V5 t; G: h3 p
. z; z5 n3 N7 G' m) _" I+ k
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