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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，8 ?% o8 r1 H3 W( h
! \ \4 K( ~& q: {. o8 X比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？& t% ]! `$ w. ]* `* V
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：# V% q$ V3 R" {7 ~+ v: O8 S y# g
* v3 ~1 m5 a. M" W3 |1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
4 H( f# _9 ]/ ?
" @; Q9 C' I7 Z& u1 F/ U- ?没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
) _' C! U2 i y* u- c B0 F! ^% j, U. [
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
7 D1 q& R8 g" B' u6 }3 J# l s& B5 P1 e! N: x9 u/ P+ B: r# ~
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
) F2 ]4 I/ ^ k
: K- }6 \/ B, }+ T' k8 f5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
; e3 X4 n& B. B5 d8 z9 m
# _' ^ r. A2 t4 V& }6 J* B4 a0 YLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和+ B7 p8 @9 K# K! W3 d1 M4 M: M
/ O0 ~, C: X# j. f2 g
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
9 x' q+ m7 s! k2 I
" w# I0 a# L" D) `, b美金）。5 p# M( L+ {; h5 M8 Q. f% x. i5 a
' b' m) M0 ?2 M8 |; @; P
; V( S0 u% s* B% p3 c2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态. g; F0 z/ {7 H; o
& D# B8 n* c7 M% ^9 [0 [, A+ c
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去. G/ x7 G0 v% j5 m
4 S* J* I( n4 W5 F; O% q/ _
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
) o: X' L9 t& v. ]7 Y9 R
) M& y( f4 e% V9 Q8 Z3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户6 c. N) G' w& ]$ y. q' ?, t
5 q2 t( w! _* B& `尤其大资金的信任和青睐。, {) t# u4 W3 Z6 Q
% x! C2 l, [( ]0 E
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL7 D3 j; v4 c7 r" S- v
/ B) \0 X7 K& Q- I, v7 Y3 {/ t
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如2 F) ^* t& Q5 j! y9 x4 o, c6 @% w
, ^; D* ?* m+ z4 g" _果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
/ n( @1 }$ ~% i+ D1 u2 J8 [1 p3 s. C
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。0 q6 G0 w8 {/ N2 i4 ?2 O4 z5 @0 d
5 y( R U" ~, }; u
1 Y, ^* K' N( ~. [
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