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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就, H' u2 }, |1 g, ]: Z6 g
1 Y7 R3 a- a3 F0 d突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照
) ?# c6 R% U; m) } W$ M) t1 p- ^. b# B7 `
matrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴
7 M; ~1 C5 U9 y( F& k
: E1 Z7 i: O4 S! z/ Q% K忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
- Y) a R# C: r/ z
2 h4 T, ]; }4 }3 v这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中! Z& i8 [- U2 K2 R
0 v7 `5 T+ G5 { V6 v1 i4 m% ^
期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
$ ?3 _$ `! R0 P& h9 g2 RETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道9 D+ _8 {& c" _
( _# g# A$ H: I- Y# k3 I消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二
6 J1 J2 \0 i) v8 W0 H# Q7 a) _4 d6 t( n- z3 l
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。( I% {! T" X0 u1 l" J1 V# {
4 p. l0 N; q& S* S% T/ ?* |
另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货
8 K; ^% w- g9 I' P/ Z; u" O2 w( e
ETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短
9 }9 [ o8 t. D6 v, `: `2 i: S3 W) @2 Y: f: i9 r& W8 `6 X. ~
期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，
9 {2 A% x8 Y% _/ J3 w/ b: O j. h% d' s ^# V' }2 V: i
负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。4 ?+ ~$ t/ H; h! \
2 X. ^# P/ G1 t# t0 h: V
) d6 b7 |, B! W; \# B, K& |8 a1 V |
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