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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就
/ N; E( ^+ ~5 |4 ^* `+ U4 n: j z' K3 w6 }% [. C2 I
突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照* W+ u4 Q# Q, V8 r0 d. r( ?
U; p3 v; n# fmatrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴( }0 F$ F) V- T7 {% u( u7 o
1 K' }# B$ H! g8 C; Y& g+ X" H忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万， J8 v8 ?4 R8 Y. S: E! T
) T! H0 [6 Q. i5 K! B' r
这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中
, @/ _, v+ f6 ^' L+ V) u8 b
/ d+ _7 M7 `! q* K! y0 }2 Z: @* x期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
; r. q4 o1 N, c# F" K1 wETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道
& `9 W* ?0 E% j5 o. f) \8 `
4 s& D+ @/ P: N3 j消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二
: K6 S3 ~2 k& n$ V( b0 }$ g' q* N% u0 x, |
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。
3 b( _# N1 } c* e1 x p( G* \) l. W9 H9 K( [
另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货# u. u) B5 e! E w$ Z5 o% k M
0 d. k. N( G( U! fETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短
/ Y, p1 P) r0 r3 v- B9 k# {3 p, ^% ]; Z8 u
期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，4 K; E! r' C3 A' i
& ?0 T- ~3 D" h' @' M% O% ^2 G9 c9 J! k
负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
, t9 V7 \# Q/ a
+ v0 t8 B7 L! ~ c& n% }6 f1 t. ^- w% y& H8 Y8 Q1 H/ q$ X( q+ j" D
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