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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后,SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。: ~' o6 R0 R( `" m' }9 i
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示,美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易,这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻,将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
+ a3 ~( ^/ s) Z1 C4 L1 L0 G* N' A% n- A& c. d
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市,这将改变比特币的投资面貌,让机构和散户投资者 M2 \- `) Q8 V7 L- d
; `8 {$ {! L7 l
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在不直接持有比特币的情况下,也能投资比特币。
2 v& a6 o. e. N; [% i$ G' C6 [- L8 h: E4 V4 m t) r
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来,2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市,, }7 e; Q$ j# a! H' Q6 t9 _
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如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市,申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统8 y4 V8 A' a3 z7 {
# u- T2 f: N2 r$ `+ r( D) W% K
资管机构,这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性,比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。+ i+ E% [6 B" {0 W: k6 g
. w4 c9 x3 p0 ]/ B9 b7 s从运作模式看,发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币,并交由Coinbase Global等
2 T! |8 p& J& a7 ~$ [1 b) v; O5 z! L3 \7 C+ d
托管机构储存,再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加1 H3 Y S/ D! P, u7 s
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哥期权交易所上市。此外,为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧,纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交$ D! s% r7 X' O
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易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
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$ d/ y1 j/ \" S, S6 i天朝(上海)自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示,这次比特币
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ETF通过,也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化,根本原因还是美国已经围
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* M8 I, d3 t- q绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
" @9 @! E% h; s8 l5 y! X3 q' \* Y6 H- f
所接受,很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
* i" V! H0 ~0 |- k% `. D3 e0 ?' X+ i- g
在比特币ETF获批后,市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表,美国投资机构Fundstrat ( t6 O0 X. J. N- k& L+ H
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Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示,随着ETF获得批准,需求激增,
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比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元,超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元 V9 d) v( w* a/ r7 e( ]) k3 s/ O
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的历史高点。在未来五年内,比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
# I' x; @7 ?( b: t& r; r# S9 |) _3 H1 q1 N) Z
不过,更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示,美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
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并不重要,重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图:通过比特币市场的发展,引导金融机构和
% {( Y: w- C/ _. X2 O5 `. Y/ Z& }; f7 H
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入,从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
# k) z0 l! v1 z; M& x1 J0 K$ ^/ W! C9 X+ ^0 k1 L: l1 D7 i
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