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[lastpost] => 2796167 稳定币需求成为主流!发行方通过以太坊赚取 50 亿美元(转) 1768174058 sunnyclare001
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势8 B6 Y" e3 z1 ]
! A" b7 Q$ O' C, U. D; A6 @" R过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。0 s" R9 E/ l7 [) g) i" m; [7 w* ?
& B' W4 p6 U" yPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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" `1 H& l5 j5 m$ G. R+ {+ jCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。( l ?4 f6 a1 a
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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0 K- |- A) z" _# b当前持仓成本:
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! A( o* d8 v Y6 l& z! a0 v( l& h机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;' _" f4 t3 M0 j
4 z4 f* Q" w1 Q$ ^/ c' z) U5 y
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。: {& [, K& B7 }& e. x. \
( j5 p4 P' X9 \+ y% J, `比特币价值回归:& w- Z# y- u" `& E
% D3 C1 v$ `# G) V" N0 H: P市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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! c5 n" U( o9 n. }% |: K9 F( K, o随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。! r9 O# {) o; b+ T
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加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况 \* m9 }. V: ]/ A; Z. r
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ETH:' r* v+ y( O# P- y# s+ b5 f& h
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
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- o% }2 T: t6 W- H机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。( R' [" D: k: I* Z8 P) R* `( n
! V* E8 p+ `3 N* FBTC:3 ?, ~: F; f$ F4 t
' X3 x$ f3 o5 F1 w* S! H尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
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* ^% f/ I' e! y D9 J如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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SOL与XRP:$ q. k% @# `- W0 c6 H/ }+ }
: j# y7 D; B, Q9 R8 oSOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。: Y' Z% B4 e2 v9 Z
0 g5 y& D0 e) i8 p; bXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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+ _5 L% v2 H% a5 c其他热点项目:) \# P' h" y! z5 ^
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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2 `. x3 G7 C0 E" g山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目! s- ?! |* S+ w9 N9 m$ O8 v8 U
. e$ L1 E8 g) w1 bAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
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) ]; f) `* c6 U3 b6 l蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。% q5 y7 D2 ^+ j; O( }1 j& c
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新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。' x' x& o/ N `' ~0 j
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市场展望- M, q6 [* d6 s$ y5 f+ A& F1 a' S% A1 T
# u9 ^/ w$ x0 n( q2 H% H) u8 T) s随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
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