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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍,反弹的几率(转)
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26%,但长期流出仍然超过积累。, o+ F/ F* B1 |/ g1 Z4 x
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。* |- [1 e$ v6 l7 c
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象,并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上,并更新了技术势头。发稿时,BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元,在过去24小时内下降了0.33%。
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8 @+ D$ i& O: ?4 w3 N3 e3 x; ~* F尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000,但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明,如果关键的结构信号一致,则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入,但是…
/ ~3 u( a7 H7 ~' u T7 p$ P0 j# t鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中,大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41%,这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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, U. o0 [5 F% l7 h. ?# W, z* c但是,更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows,分别下降了-108.09%和-110.13%。
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因此,尽管恢复了最近的恢复,但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。* S& }& v# J; G+ L& o
0 R9 J( m7 Z/ S: W; j最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加,过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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1 | n6 `: o1 E4 _1 B. Q这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平,并标志着强大的区块链参与。 % V, O8 Z* f5 {4 i# V
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然而,热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82%,显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。; s5 ?+ T4 b. z! G
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突2 D' `$ o/ t( p: n$ O l( a
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处,表明矿工收入在健康范围内。! Y9 s: ~2 R5 l2 g
! j. p( ^; A2 m" u9 J同时,NVT和NVM比分别增加了50%和26%,这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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& F3 K% C5 m0 [3 M2 V& [相反,股票与流量的比率下降了50%,表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明,尽管基本面并不弱,但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。' c( J; c- ?# V2 L
; f' L2 `4 s5 z5 n) C: Y2 x此外,Binance清算热图显示,密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域,价格波动通常会加剧。 # u$ w3 e3 }) |
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000,它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算,以增强动力。但是,低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。6 w$ c- V, S0 G8 h" j7 v$ T
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结果,交易者应密切关注这些水平,因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速?
* ^4 s& q& X& b A8 R/ o比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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8 ?; ~7 | C5 M, D但是,长期的卖出压力,负价分支的差异和估值张力表明,突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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