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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊价格预测：本周上涨4% 金叉却失效？$3,000关口恐成空谈？-转
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根据最新数据，美国上市的以太坊现货ETF单日净流入高达 1.4857亿美元，创下自2月以来的第二高单日流入记录，显示机构对ETH布局意愿持续升温。 过去8周累计流入已逼近 20亿美元大关，市场对以太坊中长期价值的信心正在不断增强，或预示着大资金正悄然建仓，蓄势待发。 上市公司也加入以太坊阵营。SharpLink Gaming 现为目前以太坊最大公开持仓的上市公司，BitMine 则将重心转向 ETH。Robinhood 也已在 Arbitrum（以太坊二层网络）上线代币化美股，以太坊现实世界应用场景不断扩展。 关键机构催化因素： - 8周内超20亿美元的ETF净流入
- Robinhood在以太坊网络上推出代币化股票
- 上市公司将ETH作为公司资产进行储备
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衍生品市场亦反映乐观预期： - 其中30% 瞄准 $3,500以上
- 80% 的 ETH 7月到期看涨期权目标价超过 $3,000
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然而，当前价格走势仍未确认方向。 9 y7 j) ~8 T F L. }
+ O* `9 n3 n5 t, t! V: e% x/ q看跌形态暗示更深回调风险 R+ P3 |: \0 s( ], P4 T
尽管基本面依旧偏多，但以太坊的技术面已出现警示信号。ETH未能站稳 $2,600 关口，当前徘徊于 $2,520 附近，短期内或面临进一步下探压力。 在周线图上，50日均线（50-SMA）正接近下穿100日均线（100-SMA），一旦形成所谓的“死亡交叉（Death Cross）”，历史上往往引发高达35%的回调。若该形态确认，ETH可能回踩至 $1,750 支撑位。 其他风险信号： - 24小时内多头爆仓金额超 5680万美元
- RSI 与随机震荡指标（Stochastic Oscillator）均显示动能减弱
- 分析师 Weslad 指出可能形成 ABCDE调整浪结构 m f6 N1 g( ~; F8 G/ n; Y
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尽管整体趋势仍有看涨预期，ETH迟迟未能突破 $3,000 大关，而比特币却逼近新高，这表明市场中部分看空情绪依然存在。若宏观市场转向“风险规避”模式，ETH或将面临来自散户与杠杆交易者的双重抛压。 2 o* G3 c6 T& e8 c$ V. q8 n% O
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