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[lastpost] => 2753614 比特币跌破115000美元：18万人爆仓，720亿交易量警示市场风险！（转） 1754043290 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？
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/ u% c8 L; z/ \以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。+ J" U E* ` O1 S* H9 O/ @. n
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目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。, E9 ~ A$ O. u& C
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对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易6 ^. U3 ?' J# ? [* C
但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。
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这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。
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4 D0 _& X$ x! {, S事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。/ v. R3 A- D" k
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此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。* c7 }" k" v8 g% c" O
- ]. [: r* c- p/ U' X% l同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此
- N9 b8 Y4 y2 K, t/ K6 I$ m事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。
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与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。3 M5 Q2 @2 B' w1 t' u$ P- Q
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难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。
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& F4 g/ P% F& m. Y6 U2 ]* T' S4 g现货需求也受到追捧6 f1 F- W. G6 X- Q5 M9 a; @
但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。 d* ?, c2 a1 {1 J% N- S
( s# T5 W, |! B+ N4 ?2 ?事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。
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u; a* x" \; r2 q) S5 _! dCoinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,; i3 A$ B+ h6 Y' c. _* ]
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“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”
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7 F+ v. N* V9 a, u1 @3 g' s2 p这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。; M5 n" |+ _$ q: w
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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