Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29292
[posts] => 477775
[todayposts] => 12
[yesterdayposts] => 108
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2796632 今日虚拟币市场是一个普跌了 1768326143 叫我十三
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
[虚拟币交流]
加密货币领域智商最高的专家发布了新的48小时比特币走势预测(转)
[复制链接]
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5089 小时
本月在线: 4 小时
|
|
自称“世上最聪明的人”屡次预测比特币价格失误? _5 C3 P8 {/ U# @4 b: r
金,一位韩国网络名人,2025年末开始流行他曾多次自称智商为 276,并声称自己的市场观点优于传统分析。7 a. B' n: U6 I( S$ B& v7 t
' S% y( e. d8 {0 D; M
他的比特币预测尽管许多交易员对它们持怀疑态度,但它们往往能迅速走红。
5 ~" ]: f! P( B/ k9 y! J' p! W2 d* c7 d( h: Q+ r* P; \' D
11月,金预测比特币将飙升至 22 万美元。45天内,预测未能实现。
$ U+ V# }, N e4 q
9 l1 O; B2 E: Y5 }去年12月,他还声称比特币将在一周内突破10万美元。! J3 U! [) a4 u6 T1 R6 c/ ?
9 o% ]3 w8 H) V8 _$ E相反,受宏观经济不确定性、年底仓位调整和上涨动能减弱的影响,比特币在 12 月的大部分时间里都在 9 万美元以下交易。: u; V" o7 G0 u q' z
( i$ {9 U! n! _! x9 y当时的背景很重要。金正恩早期的预测是在比特币缺乏明确催化剂、整体风险情绪依然脆弱的时期做出的。市场根本不支持他预测的那种抛物线式的上涨行情。: F" e2 n" v. e7 ^' r
9 y4 y! ?( I3 U6 s! h本周的安排看起来有所不同,但变化并不大。
9 Y1 V2 b) S) Y' C. e6 N. d0 X' ~. k0 N1 G6 }
比特币图表再次转牛市了吗?: X- Q7 t4 u- o% K: b
比特币重回 94,000 美元此前,美国股市开盘走强,风险偏好情绪升温。华尔街投资者认为,周末委内瑞拉局势升级的事件已得到控制,不太可能扰乱全球市场。+ z' D \4 M0 j6 T
4 Q; b$ n* h2 s, @) n' U股市上涨,能源股表现优异,加密货币跟随股市走势,而非作为避险资产。
2 u# Q* ?; {' e9 e5 J7 p# J7 Q5 H; d' C+ X2 I- F* j
然而,此次上涨并不意味着比特币价格会在48小时内突破10万美元大关。比特币价格仍然对股市情绪十分敏感。
$ A. F$ g. I7 W6 Q: e9 ~3 i4 z5 ^/ R ~8 C6 i2 c" y/ K2 r
虽然市场动能有所改善,但还没有明显的恐慌性购买、供应冲击或通常会推动六位数快速波动的结构性催化剂的迹象。% {, \$ Y1 g7 ?+ G+ e' N) F8 }
' u/ f$ k7 g4 v! V3 v/ B1 |9 J此外,链上数据也削弱了即将出现垂直突破的可能性。
* `1 ]: `+ K' C. {
5 n7 H: v8 F4 x( G5 s h虽然长期持有者(LTH)的支出在11月下旬出现激增,但其中很大一部分来自交易所内部转账,尤其是Coinbase。这些并非真正意义上的市场分销。
+ f6 o7 n5 \9 a$ B6 h( \5 G% \# b* ~' j' _3 U% s
虽然长期持有者在 11 月下旬转移了大量比特币,但其中大部分活动来自内部交易所转账,尤其是 Coinbase 的转账,而不是真正抛售到市场上。
( }9 e% y2 N' v" @. U8 \
8 l$ H1 Y+ \. Z/ s% D) p' T' S剔除内部波动后,长期持有者的行为看起来活跃但不极端。这表明他们可能正在进行重新布局,而不是出现足以引发剧烈突破的那种需求激增。: w' O; z6 x" N, E8 Q
! ~1 v5 Z/ r' q' ^: \1 n衍生品融资保持稳定。交易所资金流入较为平缓。波动性有所上升,但并未出现爆发式增长。换言之,此轮上涨行情较为可控,而非狂热。
7 _7 F% S* Q$ G" J A. k% S3 d( `: N, L" c$ _
金正恩的最新预测与市场乐观情绪相符,但他的时间表仍然十分激进。比特币或将测试10万美元附近的心理阻力位。如果风险偏好在未来几周内保持不变。/ P" L# h5 d5 D1 y8 g, ?2 P8 l
& V) z; f- g! U4 v) K R1 b L
然而,短期内的突破可能需要比市场情绪改善更强劲的催化剂。$ a O; b: H5 S( p
; X& d' `6 {3 D3 x6 O( Z
目前来看,这种说法介于信心和一厢情愿之间。比特币确实再次出现波动,但市场交易的仍然是结构,而不是口号。
3 @! | u5 n t# b9 O8 J$ w' h2 x |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 46 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
|
|
|
哈哈,这哥儿的预测跟过山车似的,真真假假让人看不懂了 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|