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[lastpost] => 2818905 谁在砸盘比特币？巨鲸减持压力抵消ETF买盘，3月反弹难掩需求真空（转） 1775425159 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
随着美伊紧张局势加剧，比特币或将跌破 9.6 万美元大关（转）
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比特币在经历了一轮强劲的周线反弹后，目前守住了 96,000 美元上方，当日涨幅约 1%，周涨幅约为 6%。需要关注的价位是 95,000 美元。如果能守住该价位，则表明市场结构保持完整。如果下跌，则可能出现更大幅度的回调。
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加密货币总市值一度飙升近5%，达到3.25万亿美元，随后涨势停滞。目前价格处于数月高位，但后续需求不足。与此同时，CoinMarketCap数据显示，加密货币市场恐惧与贪婪指数……转中立54岁。
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3 P6 { `8 X. W0 q% t. r( M& f宏观平静是脆弱的) a0 |/ [8 [# {& m
除加密货币以外，其他市场的风险情绪有所缓和。金属价格回落，美国暗示可能推迟对伊朗的军事行动后，油价下跌。另一方面，亚洲股市走低。由于交易员抛售科技股，美国股指期货也出现下跌。, h2 ~$ k6 v6 o }7 }, Z) U
* Q/ f- K* V2 e/ _美伊关系的任何恶化都可能迅速推高油价，并加剧各类资产的风险。比特币尚未反映出这种风险。
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有关的：受关税和美联储冲击，比特币两个月高位面临风险
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杠杆已被清除/ x( e- |" t$ R7 m+ @
比特币衍生品未平仓合约量较10月份下降了约30%。去杠杆化降低了系统中的过高风险。目前比特币未平仓合约总量接近650亿美元，低于峰值时的900多亿美元。
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, Z6 K' ?+ t$ Q3 `/ A未平仓合约下降的上涨行情通常意味着空头平仓，而不是多头涌入。这使得行情走势更加清晰，但也意味着多空头头寸减少。最近这波上涨至 9.6 万美元的行情是由期货成交量低迷导致的空头挤压造成的，而非现货需求强劲。. }5 R t9 T- F- d: P* b
0 l/ g9 K- C1 m3 k7 H5 z+ s( K选项定位显示行权价为10万美元的期权备受关注，其名义价值约为22亿美元。交易员希望价格上涨，但目前风险承受能力尚不足以支撑这一价格。
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7 A6 u* @! O6 _- t9 r$ d根据链上分析Glassnode 平台现货市场开始转为乐观，而币安和综合交易所 CVD 指标再次转为看涨。
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Glassnode表示，加密货币交易所Coinbase此前曾带来巨大的抛售压力，但现在抛售压力已经缓解。该平台还补充说，“在趋势全面扩张阶段，通常会出现积极的吸筹行为。”3 z# y3 O, r" u1 I- X
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美伊局势这波动真刺激，比特币这波要是真破9.6万就完犊子了 |
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这波涨得挺猛，但别忘了，风浪来了谁也躲不掉，守住95K再说吧 |
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这波要是跌破9.5万，估计不少人得躺平了，真挺悬的 |
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美伊那边一有风吹草动，币圈这心跳也跟着加速啊，96k这位置可要撑住咯 |
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